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Maritimo B vs Castro Daire

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023
Maritimo B Logo

Maritimo B

5 - 1
FT
Castro Daire Logo

Castro Daire

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 game between Maritimo B and Castro Daire finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritimo B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Maritimo B
15%
Draws
28%
Castro Daire
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritimo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Maritimo B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Maritimo B a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Maritimo B Clean Sheet 19%
Castro Daire Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo B Castro Daire
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.21 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Maritimo B vs Castro Daire
5:1
Dec 4, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Castro Daire vs Maritimo B
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo B 42 / 100
Castro Daire 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo B Castro Daire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Maritimo B scored in 65% of their last 34 games.

Castro Daire's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Castro Daire's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo B VS Castro Daire
1 Goals Scored 0.33
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo B

(Home)
13 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 3
Cinfaes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Maritimo B
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
16 Mar
Camacha
1 : 0
Maritimo B
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
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Castro Daire

(Away)
16 Aug
Castro Daire
0 : 2
UD Ovarense
31 Aug
Castro Daire
1 : 2
Anadia
16 Apr
Leca
1 : 0
Castro Daire
08 Apr
Castro Daire
3 : 1
GD Resende
02 Apr
Castro Daire
0 : 1
Beira Mar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Salgueiros 26 15 7 4 39:25 52
2 Lusitania FC 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Rebordosa 26 14 9 3 42:23 51
4 Beira Mar 26 13 9 4 35:21 48
5 Maritimo B 26 12 7 7 39:26 43
6 Valadares Gaia FC 26 10 10 6 39:29 40
7 Gondomar 26 10 8 8 33:32 38
8 Camacha 26 9 7 10 30:34 34
9 Leca 26 10 3 13 29:29 33
10 Machico 26 7 8 11 31:40 29
11 FC Alpendorada 26 8 5 13 30:43 29
12 Castro Daire 26 4 8 14 23:34 20
13 GD Resende 26 4 5 17 30:50 17
14 Guarda Desportiva 26 2 5 19 21:61 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)