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Stadium Background

Maritimo B vs Ribeirao

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Cruz T.
59'
Freitas Correia J.
59'
Freitas Correia J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 game between Maritimo B and Ribeirao finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ribeirao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Maritimo B
20%
Draws
20%
Ribeirao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maritimo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Ribeirao haven't matched Maritimo B's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Maritimo B's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Maritimo B Clean Sheet 68%
Ribeirao Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo B Ribeirao
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maritimo B vs Ribeirao
1:2
Nov 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ribeirao vs Maritimo B
0:1
Jan 22, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Ribeirao vs Maritimo B
3:2
Sep 4, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
Maritimo B vs Ribeirao
1:1
Mar 27, 2011 Second Division - Zona Norte
Ribeirao vs Maritimo B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanu S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Ribeirao Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leiras P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo B 68 / 100
Ribeirao 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo B Ribeirao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritimo B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maritimo B scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Ribeirao has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ribeirao registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo B VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo B

(Home)
13 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 3
Cinfaes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Maritimo B
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
16 Mar
Camacha
1 : 0
Maritimo B
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
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Ribeirao

(Away)
07 Apr
Ribeirao
1 : 1
AD Limianos
24 Mar
Tirsense
3 : 0
Ribeirao
17 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 1
CDC Montalegre
09 Mar
Brito
4 : 0
Ribeirao
03 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 0
CD Portosantense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)