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Maritimo U23 vs Benfica U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Edokpolor P.
45' Event
Galinho M.
Own Goal
55' Event
Vieira D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Next Gen U23 game between Maritimo U23 and Benfica U23 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Maritimo U23
15%
Draws
76%
Benfica U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benfica U23 come out ahead of Maritimo U23 on wins alone.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Benfica U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Maritimo U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Benfica U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo U23 Benfica U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Maritimo U23 vs Benfica U23
1:3
Aug 22, 2022 Liga Next Gen U23
Maritimo U23 vs Benfica U23
1:3
Nov 7, 2021 Liga Next Gen U23
Maritimo U23 vs Benfica U23
0:2
Aug 27, 2021 Liga Next Gen U23
Benfica U23 vs Maritimo U23
1:2
Dec 5, 2020 Liga Next Gen U23
Benfica U23 vs Maritimo U23
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Benfica U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Edokpolor P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vieira D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo U23 16 / 100
Benfica U23 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo U23 Benfica U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benfica U23 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Maritimo U23 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Maritimo U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo U23 VS Benfica U23
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo U23

(Home)
25 Sept
Maritimo U23
1 : 3
Benfica U23
20 Sept
Maritimo U23
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras U23
15 Sept
Vizela U23
2 : 1
Maritimo U23
08 Sept
Maritimo U23
1 : 1
Gil Vicente U23
01 Sept
Leiria U23
2 : 0
Maritimo U23
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Benfica U23

(Away)
25 Sept
Maritimo U23
1 : 3
Benfica U23
19 Sept
Benfica U23
3 : 0
Torreense U23
14 Sept
Leiria U23
1 : 2
Benfica U23
09 Sept
Benfica U23
0 : 1
Vizela U23
02 Sept
Benfica U23
1 : 2
Academico Viseu U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 7 4 3 0 15:9 15
2 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
3 Estoril U23 7 3 4 0 16:12 13
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)