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Maritimo U23 vs Famalicao U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maritimo U23 host Famalicao U23 in the Liga Next Gen U23. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Famalicao U23 have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Maritimo U23 have conceded 1.7 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Famalicao U23 slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 22, 2025, ending 6:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.63, favoring Famalicao U23. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Maritimo U23
15%
Draws
73%
Famalicao U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Famalicao U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Famalicao U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Famalicao U23's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Maritimo U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Famalicao U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo U23 Famalicao U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.97 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 22, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Famalicao U23 vs Maritimo U23
6:2
Oct 21, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Maritimo U23 vs Famalicao U23
0:6
Jan 17, 2023 Liga Next Gen U23
Maritimo U23 vs Famalicao U23
0:0
Nov 8, 2022 Liga Next Gen U23
Famalicao U23 vs Maritimo U23
1:2
Mar 5, 2022 Liga Next Gen U23
Famalicao U23 vs Maritimo U23
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo U23 27 / 100
Famalicao U23 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo U23 Famalicao U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Famalicao U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Famalicao U23 let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Maritimo U23 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Famalicao U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo U23 VS Famalicao U23
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo U23

(Home)
25 Sept
Maritimo U23
1 : 3
Benfica U23
20 Sept
Maritimo U23
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras U23
15 Sept
Vizela U23
2 : 1
Maritimo U23
08 Sept
Maritimo U23
1 : 1
Gil Vicente U23
01 Sept
Leiria U23
2 : 0
Maritimo U23
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Famalicao U23

(Away)
19 Sept
Leixoes U23
1 : 2
Famalicao U23
15 Sept
Famalicao U23
0 : 1
Rio Ave U23
08 Sept
Estoril U23
4 : 2
Famalicao U23
01 Sept
SC Farense U23
4 : 3
Famalicao U23
25 Aug
Famalicao U23
2 : 1
FC Felgueiras U23
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 7 4 3 0 15:9 15
2 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
3 Estoril U23 7 3 4 0 16:12 13
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)