Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maritimo vs Leixoes

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Maritimo and Leixoes finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leixoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Maritimo
30%
Draws
38%
Leixoes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leixoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Leixoes haven't matched Maritimo's recent run of results.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Leixoes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 10%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo Leixoes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Maritimo vs Leixoes
1:5
May 1, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Leixoes
3:2
Dec 21, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Maritimo
1:4
Apr 5, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Leixoes
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Maritimo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo 26 / 100
Leixoes 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo Leixoes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maritimo scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Solid form: Maritimo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Leixoes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo VS Leixoes
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo

(Home)
08 Aug
Maritimo
1 : 0
Casa Pia
01 Aug
Maritimo
1 : 0
Nacional
29 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 1
Estrela Calheta
25 Jul
Maritimo
0 : 0
Machico
22 Jul
Maritimo
2 : 0
Camacha
Page 1 of 6

Leixoes

(Away)
01 Aug
Leixoes
6 : 2
Casa Pia
29 Jul
Leixoes
3 : 2
Vizela
18 Jul
Nacional
3 : 3
Leixoes
17 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 5
Leixoes
17 May
Leixoes
2 : 1
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 6