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Maritimo vs Leixoes

World World

Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Maritimo and Leixoes finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leixoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Maritimo
30%
Draws
58%
Leixoes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leixoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Maritimo haven't matched Leixoes's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Leixoes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 16%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo Leixoes
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.23 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Maritimo vs Leixoes
1:5
May 1, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Leixoes
3:2
Dec 21, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Maritimo
1:4
Apr 5, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Leixoes
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Maritimo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo 10 / 100
Leixoes 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo Leixoes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leixoes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Maritimo scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Leixoes conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Maritimo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo VS Leixoes
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo

(Home)
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1
Maritimo
14 Sept
Moreirense
3 : 1
Maritimo
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3
Benfica
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1
Maritimo
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2
Academico Viseu
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Leixoes

(Away)
20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4
Leixoes
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0
Leixoes
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2
Leixoes
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4
Leiria
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