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Maritimo vs Portimonense

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Marítimo, Funchal
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Jarleysom
36'
Cagro W.
44'
Fernandes T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Maritimo and Portimonense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritimo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Maritimo
30%
Draws
34%
Portimonense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maritimo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Maritimo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Maritimo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 15%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo Portimonense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Portimonense
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Maritimo
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Maritimo vs Portimonense
2:0
Sep 1, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Maritimo
5:1
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Maritimo vs Portimonense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo 35 / 100
Portimonense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo Portimonense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Portimonense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Maritimo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo VS Portimonense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo

(Home)
22 Jul
Maritimo
2 : 0
Camacha
17 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 5
Leixoes
14 Jul
Maritimo
2 : 0
AFS
11 Jul
Maritimo
0 : 1
Academica
15 May
Maritimo
1 : 3
Chaves
Page 1 of 6

Portimonense

(Away)
29 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 1
Portimonense
28 Jul
Portimonense
2 : 0
Al Ahli SC
15 Jul
Portimonense
0 : 3
Rio Ave
17 May
Portimonense
1 : 0
SC Farense
09 May
FC Felgueiras
1 : 1
Portimonense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)