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Maritimo W vs Estoril Praia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Campo da Imaculada Conceição, Funchal
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Haakenson M.
24' Event
Radosavljevic J.
28' Event
Haakenson M.
Assist: Almeida M.

AI Match Summary

Maritimo W in this Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maritimo W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Maritimo W
30%
Draws
58%
Estoril Praia W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estoril Praia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maritimo W lately — more wins on the board than Estoril Praia W.
  • Model gives Estoril Praia W a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 14%
Estoril Praia W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo W Estoril Praia W
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 1.23 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Estoril Praia W
3:1
Oct 13, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Estoril Praia W vs Maritimo W
0:0
Sep 8, 2024 Taça da Liga Women
Estoril Praia W vs Maritimo W
1:1
Aug 25, 2024 Taça da Liga Women
Maritimo W vs Estoril Praia W
2:1
Nov 7, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Estoril Praia W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Radosavljevic J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Estoril Praia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Haakenson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo W 10 / 100
Estoril Praia W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo W Estoril Praia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estoril Praia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo W's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Defensive concern: Estoril Praia W conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Maritimo W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo W VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo W

(Home)
04 Oct
Rio Ave W
4 : 1
Maritimo W
27 Sept
Torreense W
8 : 0
Maritimo W
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
Page 1 of 8

Estoril Praia W

(Away)
11 May
Valadares Gaia W
6 : 2
Estoril Praia W
04 May
Estoril Praia W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
12 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Estoril Praia W
30 Mar
Estoril Praia W
2 : 0
Vilaverdense W
15 Mar
Famalicao W
2 : 2
Estoril Praia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 20 2 0 65:10 62
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 66:9 54
3 Braga W 22 13 3 6 51:17 42
4 Torreense W 22 13 2 7 46:22 41
5 Valadares Gaia W 22 12 2 8 44:24 38
6 Racing Power W 22 9 7 6 35:23 34
7 Maritimo W 22 9 3 10 28:26 30
8 Damaiense W 22 8 2 12 22:29 26
9 Famalicao W 22 7 2 13 32:54 23
10 Estoril Praia W 22 5 4 13 28:49 19
11 Albergaria/Durit W 22 3 2 17 13:60 11
12 Vilaverdense W 22 0 0 22 4:111 0
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)