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Maritimo W vs Famalicao W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Campo da Imaculada Conceição, Funchal
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Nardone E.
31'
Carabali E.
46'
Sub
High S. N. In: Costa L.
Out: High S. N.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 game between Maritimo W and Famalicao W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Famalicao W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Maritimo W
20%
Draws
70%
Famalicao W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Famalicao W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Famalicao W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Famalicao W a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 15%
Famalicao W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo W Famalicao W
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 1.2 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.4 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Famalicao W
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Famalicao W vs Maritimo W
0:3
Jan 27, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Famalicao W vs Maritimo W
0:1
Sep 17, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Famalicao W
2:1
Feb 4, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Famalicao W vs Maritimo W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Famalicao W Compare

Top Goalscorer Meriva D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo W 10 / 100
Famalicao W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo W Famalicao W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Famalicao W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Famalicao W let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Maritimo W scored in 60% of their last 35 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Maritimo W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo W VS Famalicao W
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo W

(Home)
04 Oct
Rio Ave W
4 : 1
Maritimo W
27 Sept
Torreense W
8 : 0
Maritimo W
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
Page 1 of 7

Famalicao W

(Away)
17 Jan
Vitoria Guimaraes W
3 : 0
Famalicao W
13 Dec
C.F. Benfica W
1 : 2
Famalicao W
07 Jun
Rio Ave W
0 : 0
Famalicao W
25 May
Famalicao W
0 : 1
Rio Ave W
11 May
Racing Power W
0 : 2
Famalicao W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 20 2 0 65:10 62
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 66:9 54
3 Braga W 22 13 3 6 51:17 42
4 Torreense W 22 13 2 7 46:22 41
5 Valadares Gaia W 22 12 2 8 44:24 38
6 Racing Power W 22 9 7 6 35:23 34
7 Maritimo W 22 9 3 10 28:26 30
8 Damaiense W 22 8 2 12 22:29 26
9 Famalicao W 22 7 2 13 32:54 23
10 Estoril Praia W 22 5 4 13 28:49 19
11 Albergaria/Durit W 22 3 2 17 13:60 11
12 Vilaverdense W 22 0 0 22 4:111 0
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)