Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maritimo W vs FC Porto W

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal Women Campo da Imaculada Conceição, Funchal
Sun, Jan 18, 2026
1 - 2
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Sisse F.
Assist: Costa E.
55' Event
Perruca L.
Assist: Da Costa A.
1' Event
Turner E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Maritimo W
30%
Draws
47%
FC Porto W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Porto W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maritimo W lately — more wins on the board than FC Porto W.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on FC Porto W taking it.
  • Maritimo W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Porto W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 17%
FC Porto W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo W FC Porto W
Matches Played 28 11
Wins 6 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 3
Goals Scored 0.96 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.46 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Taça de Portugal Women
Maritimo W vs FC Porto W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sisse F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Porto W Compare

Top Goalscorer Perruca L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo W 15 / 100
FC Porto W 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo W FC Porto W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Porto W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo W scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: FC Porto W conceded in 73% of 11 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Maritimo W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo W VS FC Porto W
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo W

(Home)
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 6

FC Porto W

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Porto W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
21 Sept
FC Porto W
1 : 1
Braga W
12 Sept
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
FC Porto W
06 Sept
SL Benfica W
5 : 1
FC Porto W
30 Aug
FC Porto W
2 : 1
Celta Vigo W
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Braga W 1
Sporting W 0
Feirense W 0
Rio Ave W 5
Torreense W 9
Leiria W 1
Damaiense W 0
SL Benfica W 2
Gil Vicente W 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W 3
C.F. Benfica W 1
Famalicao W 2
Maritimo W 2
Valadares Gaia W 0
FC Porto W 3
Ponte de Vagos W 0
Quarter-finals
Braga W 2
Rio Ave W 1
Torreense W 2
SL Benfica W 3
Vitoria Guimaraes W 3
Famalicao W 0
Maritimo W 1
FC Porto W 2
Semi-finals
Braga W 1
SL Benfica W 5
Vitoria Guimaraes W 2
FC Porto W 3
Final
SL Benfica W 2
FC Porto W 0