Sport Picks

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Maritimo W vs Racing Power W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 Campo da Imaculada Conceição, Funchal
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Silva J.
31'
Sub
Duah S. In: High S. N.
Out: Duah S.
35' Event
Ezekiel M.
Assist: Ferreira M.

AI Match Summary

Racing Power W in this Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing Power W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Maritimo W
30%
Draws
39%
Racing Power W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Racing Power W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Maritimo W at 0.93 per game, Racing Power W at 0.83.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Racing Power W taking it.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Racing Power W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 16%
Racing Power W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritimo W Racing Power W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.93 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.66 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Racing Power W vs Maritimo W
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Racing Power W
1:2
Jan 11, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Racing Power W vs Maritimo W
2:0
Aug 31, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Racing Power W
1:1
May 1, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Racing Power W vs Maritimo W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maritimo W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Racing Power W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezekiel M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritimo W 10 / 100
Racing Power W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritimo W Racing Power W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing Power W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Racing Power W conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Maritimo W found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Maritimo W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritimo W VS Racing Power W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritimo W

(Home)
27 Sept
Torreense W
8 : 0
Maritimo W
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
Page 1 of 6

Racing Power W

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Porto W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
20 Sept
Racing Power W
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia W
12 Sept
SL Benfica W
3 : 0
Racing Power W
10 May
Sporting W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
03 May
Racing Power W
1 : 2
Braga W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 18 15 3 0 58:11 48
2 Sporting W 18 10 5 3 35:16 35
3 Torreense W 18 10 2 6 29:22 32
4 Valadares Gaia W 18 7 5 6 21:22 26
5 Braga W 18 6 6 6 26:21 24
6 Vitoria Guimaraes W 18 4 9 5 16:23 21
7 Racing Power W 18 4 6 8 16:23 18
8 Rio Ave W 18 4 5 9 10:18 17
9 Maritimo W 18 4 2 12 19:40 14
10 Damaiense W 18 2 5 11 17:51 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)