Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maritsa Milevo vs Asenovets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maritsa Milevo in this Third League - South-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maritsa Milevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Maritsa Milevo
15%
Draws
17%
Asenovets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritsa Milevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maritsa Milevo lately — more wins on the board than Asenovets.
  • Model gives Maritsa Milevo a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Maritsa Milevo Clean Sheet 20%
Asenovets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritsa Milevo Asenovets
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.7 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.79 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Asenovets
4:0
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Maritsa Milevo
2:2
May 3, 2025 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Maritsa Milevo
3:0
Oct 24, 2024 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Asenovets
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritsa Milevo 85 / 100
Asenovets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritsa Milevo Asenovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritsa Milevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Asenovets conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Maritsa Milevo found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Maritsa Milevo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maritsa Milevo VS Asenovets
1.75 Goals Scored 1.17
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.83
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritsa Milevo

(Home)
27 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 5
Maritsa Milevo
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Gigant Saedinenie
1 : 2
Maritsa Milevo
05 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
0 : 4
Maritsa Milevo
29 Aug
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Botev II
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Asenovets

(Away)
27 May
Nesebar
8 : 1
Asenovets
23 May
Asenovets
4 : 2
Rozova Dolina
16 May
Atletik Kuklen
2 : 1
Asenovets
13 May
Asenovets
0 : 2
Gigant Saedinenie
09 May
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 0
Asenovets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 36 29 4 3 116:22 91
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 36 23 6 7 90:40 75
3 Neftochimic Burgas 36 19 9 8 53:39 66
4 Yambol 1915 36 20 6 10 72:41 66
5 Levski Karlovo 36 20 5 11 64:53 65
6 Maritsa Milevo 36 17 9 10 64:32 60
7 Spartak Plovdiv 36 15 9 12 64:58 54
8 Sozopol 36 16 6 14 50:38 54
9 OFC Haskovo 36 15 7 14 52:48 52
10 Zagorets 36 13 10 13 52:60 49
11 Rozova Dolina 36 14 6 16 45:52 48
12 Gigant Saedinenie 36 14 5 17 56:59 47
13 Rodopa Smolyan 36 14 4 18 51:70 46
14 Atletik Kuklen 36 13 3 20 43:78 42
15 Sekirovo Rakovski 36 9 8 19 30:53 35
16 Dimitrovgrad 36 10 5 21 42:82 35
17 Lok. Plovdiv II 36 9 6 21 44:53 33
18 Rakovski 2011 36 8 3 25 46:94 27
19 Asenovets 36 6 5 25 30:92 23
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