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Maritsa Milevo vs Botev II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East game between Maritsa Milevo and Botev II finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritsa Milevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Maritsa Milevo
20%
Draws
24%
Botev II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maritsa Milevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Botev II haven't matched Maritsa Milevo's recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Maritsa Milevo taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Maritsa Milevo Clean Sheet 19%
Botev II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritsa Milevo Botev II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.69 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Botev II
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritsa Milevo 85 / 100
Botev II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritsa Milevo Botev II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritsa Milevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Maritsa Milevo scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Botev II let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Maritsa Milevo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritsa Milevo VS Botev II
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritsa Milevo

(Home)
27 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 5
Maritsa Milevo
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Gigant Saedinenie
1 : 2
Maritsa Milevo
05 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
0 : 4
Maritsa Milevo
29 Aug
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Botev II
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Botev II

(Away)
26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3
Botev II
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0
Sozopol
12 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 2
Botev II
06 Sept
Botev II
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
29 Aug
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Botev II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
3 Maritsa Milevo 8 6 0 2 17:9 18
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Sozopol 8 4 1 3 17:13 13
7 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
8 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
9 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
10 Rozova Dolina 8 2 5 1 11:10 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 8 2 0 6 7:19 6
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)