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Maritsa Milevo vs Krumovgrad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East game between Maritsa Milevo and Krumovgrad finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Krumovgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Maritsa Milevo
15%
Draws
42%
Krumovgrad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maritsa Milevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maritsa Milevo come out ahead of Krumovgrad on wins alone.
  • Krumovgrad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Maritsa Milevo Clean Sheet 10%
Krumovgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritsa Milevo Krumovgrad
Matches Played 28 9
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 0
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 1.82 3
Goals Conceded 0.86 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Milevo vs Krumovgrad
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritsa Milevo 10 / 100
Krumovgrad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritsa Milevo Krumovgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krumovgrad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Maritsa Milevo found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Maritsa Milevo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Krumovgrad conceded in 56% of 9 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Maritsa Milevo VS Krumovgrad
2.5 Goals Scored 3.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritsa Milevo

(Home)
03 Oct
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Sozopol
27 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 5
Maritsa Milevo
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Gigant Saedinenie
1 : 2
Maritsa Milevo
05 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
0 : 4
Maritsa Milevo
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Krumovgrad

(Away)
03 Oct
Krumovgrad
1 : 2
Spartak Pleven
26 Sept
Gigant Saedinenie
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Krumovgrad
6 : 1
Sekirovo Rakovski
06 Sept
Botev II
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Maritsa Milevo 9 7 0 2 21:11 21
3 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
7 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
8 Sozopol 9 4 1 4 19:17 13
9 Rozova Dolina 9 2 6 1 14:13 12
10 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 9 2 2 5 12:16 8
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)