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Maritsa Plovdiv vs Lyubimets 2007

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2016/2017 game between Maritsa Plovdiv and Lyubimets 2007 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritsa Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Maritsa Plovdiv
15%
Draws
85%
Lyubimets 2007
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lyubimets 2007

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Lyubimets 2007 haven't matched Maritsa Plovdiv's recent run of results.
  • Maritsa Plovdiv are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Maritsa Plovdiv have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 18%
Lyubimets 2007 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritsa Plovdiv Lyubimets 2007
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.87 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2017 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Lyubimets 2007
2:0
Oct 29, 2016 Third League - South-East
Lyubimets 2007 vs Maritsa Plovdiv
0:4
May 2, 2009 B PFG East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Lyubimets 2007
1:0
Oct 4, 2008 B PFG East
Lyubimets 2007 vs Maritsa Plovdiv
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritsa Plovdiv 76 / 100
Lyubimets 2007 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritsa Plovdiv Lyubimets 2007

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritsa Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lyubimets 2007 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Maritsa Plovdiv found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Lyubimets 2007 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maritsa Plovdiv VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritsa Plovdiv

(Home)
26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2
Levski Karlovo
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1
Gigant Saedinenie
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
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Lyubimets 2007

(Away)
27 May
Dimitrovgrad
3 : 0
Lyubimets 2007
20 May
Lyubimets 2007
0 : 7
Zagorets
13 May
Vereya 2
4 : 0
Lyubimets 2007
10 May
Lyubimets 2007
0 : 0
Borislav Parvomay
06 May
Maritsa Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lyubimets 2007
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorets 34 26 6 2 77:13 84
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 26 0 8 95:25 78
3 Karnobat 34 23 4 7 79:35 73
4 Rozova Dolina 34 20 4 10 69:38 64
5 Atletik Kuklen 34 15 8 11 58:44 53
6 Borislav Parvomay 34 14 8 12 60:48 50
7 Evrokolezh 34 14 4 16 64:65 46
8 Uragan Boyadzhik 34 13 6 15 55:66 45
9 Asenovets 34 13 5 16 50:56 44
10 Dimitrovgrad 34 12 7 15 35:39 43
11 Vereya 2 34 12 5 17 66:76 41
12 Svilengrad 1921 34 11 8 15 41:52 41
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 12 5 17 51:71 41
14 Rakovski 2011 34 11 7 16 52:81 40
15 Radnevo 34 11 6 17 39:58 39
16 Arda 34 11 6 17 49:69 39
17 Lyubimets 2007 34 9 6 19 38:79 33
18 Elhovo 34 4 3 27 27:90 15
Promotion - Vtora liga 2017/2018 (Main)