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Maritsa Plovdiv vs Uragan Boyadzhik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-East 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Maritsa Plovdiv
20%
Draws
64%
Uragan Boyadzhik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uragan Boyadzhik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maritsa Plovdiv lately — more wins on the board than Uragan Boyadzhik.
  • 16% — that's where the model lands on Maritsa Plovdiv taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Maritsa Plovdiv have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 19%
Uragan Boyadzhik Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritsa Plovdiv Uragan Boyadzhik
Matches Played 39 32
Wins 14 13
Draws 10 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.67 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2017 Third League - South-East
Uragan Boyadzhik vs Maritsa Plovdiv
1:2
Oct 21, 2016 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Uragan Boyadzhik
4:0
Mar 5, 2016 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Uragan Boyadzhik
1:1
Aug 22, 2015 Third League - South-East
Uragan Boyadzhik vs Maritsa Plovdiv
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritsa Plovdiv 85 / 100
Uragan Boyadzhik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritsa Plovdiv Uragan Boyadzhik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritsa Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Maritsa Plovdiv scored in 64% of their last 39 outings.

Uragan Boyadzhik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Difficult form: Uragan Boyadzhik registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maritsa Plovdiv VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritsa Plovdiv

(Home)
03 Oct
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2
Levski Karlovo
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1
Gigant Saedinenie
Page 1 of 8

Uragan Boyadzhik

(Away)
27 May
Arda
7 : 1
Uragan Boyadzhik
20 May
Uragan Boyadzhik
2 : 0
Dimitrovgrad
13 May
Zagorets
5 : 0
Uragan Boyadzhik
10 May
Uragan Boyadzhik
2 : 5
Vereya 2
05 May
Borislav Parvomay
2 : 2
Uragan Boyadzhik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 34 29 3 2 88:20 90
2 Rozova Dolina 34 24 4 6 81:30 76
3 Zagorets 33 22 6 5 64:20 72
4 Uragan Boyadzhik 34 20 4 10 93:45 64
5 Dimitrovgrad 34 18 8 8 61:38 62
6 Gigant Saedinenie 34 18 4 12 67:58 58
7 Svilengrad 1921 33 17 5 11 72:53 56
8 Asenovets 34 15 8 11 57:46 53
9 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 14 9 11 45:29 51
10 Evrokolezh 34 14 4 16 69:74 46
11 Karnobat 34 13 4 17 56:56 43
12 Spartak Plovdiv 34 12 6 16 36:38 42
13 Levski Karlovo 34 11 2 21 43:75 35
14 Rakovski 2011 34 10 4 20 45:68 34
15 Borislav Parvomay 34 6 11 17 34:59 29
16 Radnevo 34 8 3 23 32:84 27
17 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia 34 6 4 24 42:100 22
18 Sliven 34 3 1 30 20:112 10
Promotion - Vtora liga 2016/2017 (Main)