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Maritsa Plovdiv vs Yagoda

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maritsa Plovdiv in this Third League - South-East 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maritsa Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Maritsa Plovdiv
15%
Draws
85%
Yagoda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yagoda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Maritsa Plovdiv have won more games recently than Yagoda.
  • Win probability leans Maritsa Plovdiv's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Maritsa Plovdiv have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 18%
Yagoda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritsa Plovdiv Yagoda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 0
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 28
Goals Scored 1.79 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.59 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2011 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Yagoda
5:2
Sep 5, 2010 Third League - South-East
Yagoda vs Maritsa Plovdiv
5:3
May 9, 2010 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Yagoda
3:1
Nov 1, 2009 Third League - South-East
Yagoda vs Maritsa Plovdiv
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritsa Plovdiv 85 / 100
Yagoda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritsa Plovdiv Yagoda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritsa Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yagoda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Yagoda has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Maritsa Plovdiv scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maritsa Plovdiv VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritsa Plovdiv

(Home)
26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2
Levski Karlovo
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1
Gigant Saedinenie
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
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Yagoda

(Away)
03 Jun
Yagoda
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
26 May
Gigant Saedinenie
3 : 0
Yagoda
20 May
Yagoda
0 : 3
Rozova Dolina
12 May
Atletik Kuklen
3 : 0
Yagoda
09 May
Yagoda
0 : 3
Sokol Markovo
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