Sport Picks
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Zagorets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East Maritsa stadium, Plovdiv 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zagorets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
21%
/ Low Confidence
- Zagorets haven't matched Maritsa Plovdiv's recent run of results.
- 21% — that's where the model lands on Maritsa Plovdiv taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 13%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maritsa Plovdiv | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Zagorets
0:0
May 29, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Zagorets
9:1
Nov 29, 2025 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Maritsa Plovdiv
2:2
May 24, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Zagorets
6:1
Nov 23, 2024 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Maritsa Plovdiv
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maritsa Plovdiv 57 / 100
Zagorets 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maritsa Plovdiv Zagorets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maritsa Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Maritsa Plovdiv scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Zagorets has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Difficult form: Zagorets registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Maritsa Plovdiv VS Zagorets
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Maritsa Plovdiv
(Home) 03 Oct
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2 Levski Karlovo
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1 Gigant Saedinenie
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2 Levski Karlovo
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1 Gigant Saedinenie
22 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2 OFC Haskovo
08 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 0 Zagorets
Page 1 of 3
Zagorets
(Away) 04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4 Rilski Sportist
26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3 Botev II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3 Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Zagorets
08 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 0 Zagorets
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0 Zagorets
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krumovgrad | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Maritsa Milevo | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 4 | OFC Haskovo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Yambol 1915 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 24:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Gigant Saedinenie | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Neftochimic Burgas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Rozova Dolina | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Rodopa Smolyan | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Botev II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | 9 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletik Kuklen | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:22 | 7 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 5 |
| 17 | Levski Karlovo | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 18 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:17 | 2 |
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)
