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Maritsa Plovdiv vs Zagorets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East Maritsa stadium, Plovdiv
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Maritsa Plovdiv
35%
Draws
19%
Zagorets
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maritsa Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Zagorets haven't matched Maritsa Plovdiv's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Maritsa Plovdiv taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maritsa Plovdiv Zagorets
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.29 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Zagorets
0:0
May 29, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Zagorets
9:1
Nov 29, 2025 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Maritsa Plovdiv
2:2
May 24, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Zagorets
6:1
Nov 23, 2024 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Maritsa Plovdiv
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maritsa Plovdiv 83 / 100
Zagorets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maritsa Plovdiv Zagorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maritsa Plovdiv scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Zagorets has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Maritsa Plovdiv has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maritsa Plovdiv VS Zagorets
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Maritsa Plovdiv

(Home)
08 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 0
Zagorets
29 May
Maritsa Plovdiv
9 : 1
Zagorets
23 May
Spartak Plovdiv
3 : 1
Maritsa Plovdiv
16 May
Yambol 1915
1 : 1
Maritsa Plovdiv
13 May
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 5
Nesebar
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Zagorets

(Away)
08 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 0
Zagorets
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0
Zagorets
29 May
Maritsa Plovdiv
9 : 1
Zagorets
23 May
Zagorets
2 : 4
Nesebar
16 May
Rozova Dolina
2 : 1
Zagorets
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodopa Smolyan 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 OFC Haskovo 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
3 Botev II 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Atletik Kuklen 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Spartak Plovdiv 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
6 Krumovgrad 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Maritsa Milevo 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Yambol 1915 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Rozova Dolina 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Maritsa Plovdiv 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Zagorets 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Sozopol 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
13 Dimitrovgrad 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Levski Karlovo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Gigant Saedinenie 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
16 Neftochimic Burgas 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Sekirovo Rakovski 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
18 Lok. Plovdiv II 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)