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Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Algeti Marneuli

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2017 game between Mark Stars Tbilisi and Algeti Marneuli finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mark Stars Tbilisi
15%
Draws
46%
Algeti Marneuli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Algeti Marneuli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Algeti Marneuli haven't matched Mark Stars Tbilisi's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga 3 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mark Stars Tbilisi Clean Sheet 11%
Algeti Marneuli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mark Stars Tbilisi Algeti Marneuli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.8 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.83 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2018 Liga 3
Algeti Marneuli vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
3:3
Jun 19, 2018 Liga 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Algeti Marneuli
1:3
Jun 12, 2017 Liga 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Algeti Marneuli
2:2
Apr 2, 2017 Liga 3
Algeti Marneuli vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mark Stars Tbilisi 35 / 100
Algeti Marneuli 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mark Stars Tbilisi Algeti Marneuli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Algeti Marneuli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algeti Marneuli has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Mark Stars Tbilisi scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Mark Stars Tbilisi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mark Stars Tbilisi VS Algeti Marneuli
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mark Stars Tbilisi

(Home)
06 Dec
Mark Stars Tbilisi
4 : 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
30 Nov
Sulori Vani
1 : 0
Mark Stars Tbilisi
20 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 0
Borjomi
12 Nov
Algeti Marneuli
3 : 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi
06 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 1
Gori
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Algeti Marneuli

(Away)
19 Jul
Algeti Marneuli
0 : 8
Shturmi
20 Jun
Algeti Marneuli
3 : 0
Orbi
06 Dec
Betlemi Keda
2 : 3
Algeti Marneuli
29 Nov
Algeti Marneuli
5 : 1
Chiatura
22 Nov
Khoni
1 : 4
Algeti Marneuli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 12 1 5 36:19 37
2 Telavi 18 10 5 3 30:18 35
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 10 3 5 39:24 33
4 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 6 7 5 31:29 25
5 FC Gardabani 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
6 Gori 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
7 Algeti Marneuli 18 6 5 7 25:27 23
8 Borjomi 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
9 Chkherimela 18 4 6 8 18:31 18
10 Liakhvi Tskhinvali 18 2 3 13 17:47 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chiatura 18 12 4 2 32:14 40
2 Khoni 18 9 6 3 20:10 33
3 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 8 5 5 25:18 29
4 Betlemi Keda 18 7 7 4 34:20 28
5 Samegrelo 18 6 9 3 20:14 27
6 Sulori Vani 18 7 3 8 20:19 24
7 Margveti 2006 18 5 6 7 21:28 21
8 Skuri Tsalenjikha 18 4 5 9 16:27 17
9 Odishi 1919 18 3 5 10 13:27 14
10 Sapovnela Terjola 18 1 6 11 7:31 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)