Sport Picks
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Chkherimela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Georgia
Liga 3 2017 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mark Stars Tbilisi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mark Stars Tbilisi have won more games recently than Chkherimela.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mark Stars Tbilisi Clean Sheet 16%
Chkherimela Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mark Stars Tbilisi | Chkherimela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 16, 2017 Liga 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Chkherimela
1:1
May 17, 2017 Liga 3
Chkherimela vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
2:2
Nov 17, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Chkherimela
3:0
Sep 30, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Chkherimela vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mark Stars Tbilisi 30 / 100
Chkherimela 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mark Stars Tbilisi Chkherimela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mark Stars Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.
Mark Stars Tbilisi scored in 77% of their last 35 games.
Chkherimela's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Mark Stars Tbilisi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mark Stars Tbilisi VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mark Stars Tbilisi
(Home) 06 Dec
Mark Stars Tbilisi
4 : 3 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
30 Nov
Sulori Vani
1 : 0 Mark Stars Tbilisi
20 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 0 Borjomi
12 Nov
Algeti Marneuli
3 : 3 Mark Stars Tbilisi
06 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 1 Gori
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06 Dec
Mark Stars Tbilisi
4 : 3 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
20 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 0 Borjomi
06 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 1 Gori
24 Oct
Mark Stars Tbilisi
2 : 2 FC Kolkheti Khobi
09 Oct
Mark Stars Tbilisi
0 : 0 Chiatura
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Chkherimela
(Away) 22 Nov
Chkherimela
1 : 0 Sulori Vani
14 Nov
Sapovnela Terjola
3 : 2 Chkherimela
07 Nov
Chkherimela
2 : 4 Odishi 1919
25 Oct
Skuri Tsalenjikha
1 : 2 Chkherimela
15 Oct
Margveti 2006
1 : 1 Chkherimela
Page 1 of 6
14 Nov
Sapovnela Terjola
3 : 2 Chkherimela
25 Oct
Skuri Tsalenjikha
1 : 2 Chkherimela
15 Oct
Margveti 2006
1 : 1 Chkherimela
10 Oct
Sulori Vani
2 : 2 Chkherimela
25 Sept
Odishi 1919
1 : 0 Chkherimela
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shevardeni Tbilisi | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 36:19 | 37 |
| 2 | Telavi | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 30:18 | 35 |
| 3 | Merani Tbilisi | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 39:24 | 33 |
| 4 | Mark Stars Tbilisi | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 31:29 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Gardabani | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 23 |
| 6 | Gori | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 23 |
| 7 | Algeti Marneuli | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25:27 | 23 |
| 8 | Borjomi | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | 22 |
| 9 | Chkherimela | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 10 | Liakhvi Tskhinvali | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 17:47 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiatura | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 32:14 | 40 |
| 2 | Khoni | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 20:10 | 33 |
| 3 | FC Kolkheti Khobi | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 25:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Betlemi Keda | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 34:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Samegrelo | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 20:14 | 27 |
| 6 | Sulori Vani | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 20:19 | 24 |
| 7 | Margveti 2006 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:28 | 21 |
| 8 | Skuri Tsalenjikha | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16:27 | 17 |
| 9 | Odishi 1919 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Sapovnela Terjola | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 7:31 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)
