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Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Telavi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2017 game between Mark Stars Tbilisi and Telavi finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Telavi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Mark Stars Tbilisi
35%
Draws
15%
Telavi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mark Stars Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Telavi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mark Stars Tbilisi a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mark Stars Tbilisi Clean Sheet 19%
Telavi Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mark Stars Tbilisi Telavi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.8 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2017 Liga 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Telavi
2:6
May 2, 2017 Liga 3
Telavi vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mark Stars Tbilisi 58 / 100
Telavi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mark Stars Tbilisi Telavi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mark Stars Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Mark Stars Tbilisi scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Mark Stars Tbilisi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Telavi conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Telavi
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mark Stars Tbilisi

(Home)
06 Dec
Mark Stars Tbilisi
4 : 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
30 Nov
Sulori Vani
1 : 0
Mark Stars Tbilisi
20 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 0
Borjomi
12 Nov
Algeti Marneuli
3 : 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi
06 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 1
Gori
Page 1 of 6

Telavi

(Away)
20 Sept
Odishi 1919
1 : 1
Telavi
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 12 1 5 36:19 37
2 Telavi 18 10 5 3 30:18 35
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 10 3 5 39:24 33
4 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 6 7 5 31:29 25
5 FC Gardabani 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
6 Gori 18 6 5 7 26:24 23
7 Algeti Marneuli 18 6 5 7 25:27 23
8 Borjomi 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
9 Chkherimela 18 4 6 8 18:31 18
10 Liakhvi Tskhinvali 18 2 3 13 17:47 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chiatura 18 12 4 2 32:14 40
2 Khoni 18 9 6 3 20:10 33
3 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 8 5 5 25:18 29
4 Betlemi Keda 18 7 7 4 34:20 28
5 Samegrelo 18 6 9 3 20:14 27
6 Sulori Vani 18 7 3 8 20:19 24
7 Margveti 2006 18 5 6 7 21:28 21
8 Skuri Tsalenjikha 18 4 5 9 16:27 17
9 Odishi 1919 18 3 5 10 13:27 14
10 Sapovnela Terjola 18 1 6 11 7:31 9
Promotion - Liga 3 2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2017 (Relegation Group)