Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Market Drayton vs Stourbridge

England England

FA Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stourbridge in this FA Cup 2014/2015 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Market Drayton
35%
Draws
46%
Stourbridge
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stourbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stourbridge lately — more wins on the board than Market Drayton.
  • Stourbridge are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Stourbridge arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stourbridge, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Market Drayton Clean Sheet 19%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Market Drayton Stourbridge
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2014 FA Cup
Market Drayton vs Stourbridge
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Market Drayton 20 / 100
Stourbridge 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Market Drayton Stourbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stourbridge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stourbridge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Market Drayton found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Market Drayton remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Stourbridge
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Market Drayton

(Home)
05 Jul
Market Drayton
0 : 0
Telford
09 Oct
Market Drayton
0 : 7
Leek Town
05 Aug
Market Drayton
1 : 1
Newcastle Town
10 Jul
Market Drayton
0 : 1
Telford
26 Sept
Market Drayton
0 : 1
Bury Town
Page 1 of 6

Stourbridge

(Away)
03 Oct
Stourbridge
0 : 1
Racing Club Warwick
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0
Stourbridge
26 Sept
Rushall
1 : 3
Stourbridge
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4
Real Bedford
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Spennymoor 3
Bishop Auckland 2
Marske United 2
Dunston 4
Salford 2
Nantwich 0
Brighouse Town 1
Ashton United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
King’s Lynn 7
Boston Town 0
TBD -
Hednesford -
United of Manchester 4
Prescot Cables 1
West Allotment Celtic 0
Lancaster 5
Buxton 3
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Bridlington Town 1
Newcastle Benfield 3
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Grimsby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halesowen 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Hereford 2
Ellistown 3
Droylsden 4
Ossett Albion 0
TBD -
Guiseley -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Macclesfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Chorley -
TBD -
Northwich Victoria 2
Glossop North End 3
Workington 2
Consett 0
Squires Gate 4
Bamber Bridge 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Barwell 2
Coleshill Town 1
FC Wisbech Town 0
Norwich Utd 1
Scarborough Athletic 3
Ashington 2
Burscough 0
Curzon Ashton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Leek Town 2
Stourport 1
Stafford 0
Tividale 4
Dereham 3
Neots 2
TBD -
Boston United -
Mickleover 3
Staveley Miners 0
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Bedworth United 3
Skelmersdale 4
Radcliffe 3
Darlington FC 0
Blyth Spartans 3
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine 2
Ossett Town 1
TBD -
Hyde -
Farsley 2
Frickley 1
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Tamworth -
TBD -
Romulus 2
Rushall 3
Coalville Town 5
Belper Town 3
TBD -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Dorchester 2
Yate 1
Milton United 0
Abingdon 3
Leiston 2
Haverhill Borough 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Hendon 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bristol Rovers -
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
TBD -
Sudbury 1
Romania 3
Fleet Town 2
Knaphill 1
Croydon FC 2
Burgess Hill 3
Maidstone 10
Littlehampton 0
London Colney 0
Brentwood 1
Dorking Wanderers 4
Pagham 2
Arlesey 1
Biggleswade Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
FC Witham Town 4
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Bognor Regis 0
Lewes 1
London Tigers 1
Brightlingsea 0
Cambridge City 2
Needham Market 4
Flackwell Heath 5
Wantage 4
TBD -
Salisbury -
Banbury 1
Bishops Cleeve 0
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Enfield Town 5
Romford 1
Bury Town 0
Horsham FC 0
Kingstonian 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Weymouth 3
Mangotsfield 0
Tiverton 0
Bideford 1
Raynes Park Vale 2
Ramsgate 1
Hadleigh 0
Billericay 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Canvey Island 4
Hertford Town 1
Thame United 1
Burnham FC 2
Margate 3
Folkestone 1
Northwood 3
Barton 4
Wingate & Finchley 6
Ipswich Wanderers 5
Daventry 1
Hitchin 2
Swindon Supermarine 2
AFC Totton 0
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
St. Albans -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Farnborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Winchester City 3
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 0
Horndean 0
Newport Isle of Wight 1
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Concord Rangers -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
Bodmin Town 4
Bridgwater United 5
Hythe 4
Whitstable Town 0
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Waltham Abbey 3
Barkingside 1
Northampton Sileby 1
North Greenford Utd. 3
VCD Athletic 3
Hampton & Richmond 2
AFC Hayes 2
Harrow Borough 3
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Nuneaton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town 1
Sholing 0
Slough Town 1
Ardley United 2
Dunstable Town 4
Chesham 3
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
Norton United 5
Corby 4
Holwell 0
Spalding United 4
Barrow -
TBD -
Witton Albion 3
Runcorn Town 5
Shildon 3
Whitby 2
TBD -
Stalybridge -
Blaby & Whetstone 4
Tipton Town 1
Market Drayton 1
Stourbridge 3
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
Clitheroe 1
Harrogate Railway 3
Sheffield FC 3
Shepshed 2
Trafford 0
Warrington Town 1
Grantham Town 4
Clipstone 1
Lincoln Utd. 2
Stamford 3
Cleethorpes 3
Carlton Town 2
TBD -
North Ferriby United -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrogate -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Matlock 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
East Thurrock Utd 4
Hornchurch 3
South Park 2
Metropolitan Police 5
Stortford -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers 1
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Bath City -
TBD -
Bradford Town 0
Poole Town 4
Oxford City -
TBD -
Cirencester 1
Shortwood 2
Staines -
TBD -
Biggleswade United 1
Leverstock Green 2
Paulton Rovers 3
Taunton Town 1
TBD -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Willand Rovers 2
Saltash United 1
Sherborne Town 2
Blackfield & Langley 3
Thurrock 2
Welwyn Garden 0
Tilbury 0
Aveley 4
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Leatherhead 1
Faversham 2
Larkhall 2
Truro 0
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Leamington -
TBD -
Mildenhall 1
Wroxham 3
Rugby 4
Chasetown 2
TBD -
Worcester -
Redhill 1
Carshalton 0
Herne Bay 0
Tonbridge 6
Beaconsfield Town 2
Godalming Town 1
Chessington & Hook 0
Greenwich Borough 1
Evesham 1
Redditch 0
Newmarket 0
Histon 3
Kettering 2
Aylesbury Vale 1
Hungerford 1
Chalfont St Peter 2
Grays 6
Harlow 4
Whyteleafe 1
Hastings 2
Uxbridge 6
Bedfont & Feltham 0
TBD -
Bromley -
Whitehawk -
TBD -
Chipstead 5
Merstham 6
Worthing FC 3
Dulwich Hamlet 0
TBD -
Chelmsford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnet -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Frome Town 2
Wimborne 0
Longwell Green Sports 0
Folland 1
East Preston 2
Peacehaven & Telscombe 0
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Quarter-finals
Spennymoor 4
Dunston 1
Salford 1
Ashton United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
King’s Lynn 1
Hednesford 0
United of Manchester 0
Lancaster 1
Buxton 2
Newcastle Benfield 0
Bradford PA 3
AFC Fylde 4
Grimsby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halesowen 7
Ellistown 1
Droylsden 0
Guiseley 1
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Macclesfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Chorley 1
Glossop North End 0
Workington 0
Bamber Bridge 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Barwell 2
Norwich Utd 0
Scarborough Athletic 0
Curzon Ashton 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Leek Town 3
Tividale 2
Dereham 1
Boston United 3
Mickleover 4
Bedworth United 1
Skelmersdale 1
Blyth Spartans 4
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine 5
Hyde 4
Farsley 1
Gainsborough 4
Tamworth 2
Rushall 1
Coalville Town 0
Lowestoft 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Dorchester 2
Abingdon 0
Leiston 1
Hendon 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bristol Rovers -
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton 3
Romania 2
Fleet Town 0
Burgess Hill 4
Maidstone 2
Brentwood 1
Dorking Wanderers 2
Biggleswade Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
FC Witham Town 4
Lewes 2
London Tigers 2
Needham Market 5
Flackwell Heath -
Salisbury -
Banbury 0
Weston-super-Mare 3
Eastbourne Borough 6
Enfield Town 5
Romford 3
Kingstonian 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Weymouth 4
Bideford 1
Raynes Park Vale 1
Billericay 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Canvey Island 1
Burnham FC 0
Margate 1
Barton 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
Hitchin 0
Swindon Supermarine 0
Havant & Waterlooville 3
St. Albans 1
Hayes & Yeading 0
Farnborough 2
Brackley 3
Winchester City 4
Newport Isle of Wight 3
Wealdstone 1
Concord Rangers 3
Basingstoke 2
Bridgwater United 0
Hythe 1
Ebbsfleet 7
Waltham Abbey 1
North Greenford Utd. 0
VCD Athletic 0
Harrow Borough 4
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Nuneaton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town 1
Ardley United 0
Dunstable Town 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Norton United 2
Spalding United 1
Barrow 0
Runcorn Town 1
Shildon 1
Stalybridge 0
Blaby & Whetstone 2
Stourbridge 5
Colwyn Bay 3
Harrogate Railway 2
Sheffield FC 1
Warrington Town 3
Grantham Town 2
Stamford 1
Cleethorpes 1
North Ferriby United 2
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Solihull Moors 0
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
East Thurrock Utd 4
Metropolitan Police 3
Stortford 1
Tooting & Mitcham 3
Bath City 3
Poole Town 1
Oxford City 1
Shortwood 2
Staines 5
Leverstock Green 0
Paulton Rovers 2
Gloucester City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Willand Rovers 1
Blackfield & Langley 0
Thurrock 0
Aveley 2
Maidenhead 4
Faversham 0
Larkhall 3
Gosport Borough 10
Leamington 4
Wroxham 1
Rugby 1
Worcester 3
Redhill 2
Tonbridge 1
Beaconsfield Town 1
Greenwich Borough 3
Evesham 3
Histon 1
Kettering 0
Chalfont St Peter 1
Grays 1
Hastings 0
Uxbridge 1
Bromley 5
Whitehawk 2
Merstham 1
Worthing FC 0
Chelmsford 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnet -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Frome Town 2
Folland 1
East Preston 2
Boreham Wood 3
Semi-finals
Spennymoor 1
Ashton United 0
TBD -
Telford -
King’s Lynn 3
Lancaster 2
Buxton 0
AFC Fylde 1
Grimsby -
TBD -
Halesowen 0
Guiseley 3
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Macclesfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Chorley 4
Bamber Bridge 1
TBD -
Halifax -
Barwell 2
Curzon Ashton 1
TBD -
Altrincham -
Leek Town 2
Boston United 0
Mickleover 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Gateshead -
TBD -
Marine 0
Gainsborough 4
Tamworth 1
Lowestoft 0
TBD -
Southport -
Dorchester 1
Hendon 0
TBD -
Bristol Rovers -
Dartford -
TBD -
Sutton 1
Burgess Hill 3
Maidstone 2
Biggleswade Town 0
TBD -
Welling -
FC Witham Town 2
Needham Market 1
Flackwell Heath 1
Weston-super-Mare 4
Eastbourne Borough 3
Kingstonian 2
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Weymouth 1
Billericay 0
TBD -
Braintree -
Canvey Island 1
Barton 0
Wingate & Finchley 0
Havant & Waterlooville 2
St. Albans 2
Brackley 0
Winchester City 2
Concord Rangers 3
Basingstoke 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Waltham Abbey 1
Harrow Borough 2
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Nuneaton -
TBD -
Chippenham Town 0
Hemel Hempstead 5
Norton United 5
Runcorn Town 2
Shildon 2
Stourbridge 0
Colwyn Bay 1
Warrington Town 2
Grantham Town 1
North Ferriby United 2
Stockport County 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 0
TBD -
Chester -
East Thurrock Utd 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Bath City 5
Shortwood 3
Staines 3
Gloucester City 4
TBD -
Forest Green -
Willand Rovers 3
Aveley 2
Maidenhead 1
Gosport Borough 4
Leamington 1
Worcester 3
Redhill 0
Greenwich Borough 1
Evesham 4
Chalfont St Peter 1
Grays 0
Bromley 5
Whitehawk 5
Chelmsford 8
TBD -
Barnet -
Woking -
TBD -
Frome Town 2
Boreham Wood 3
Stage 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Spennymoor 2
Telford 5
King’s Lynn 3
AFC Fylde 4
Grimsby 3
Guiseley 0
Alfreton 2
Lincoln City 6
Macclesfield 3
Wrexham 6
Chorley 0
Halifax 5
Barwell 0
Altrincham 3
Leek Town 3
Blyth Spartans 4
Gateshead 4
Gainsborough 0
Tamworth 2
Southport 3
Dorchester 1
Bristol Rovers 7
Dartford 3
Burgess Hill 1
Maidstone 2
Welling 1
FC Witham Town 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Dover Ath. 1
Weymouth 3
Braintree 5
Canvey Island 0
Havant & Waterlooville 3
St. Albans 0
Concord Rangers 1
Basingstoke 5
Harrow Borough 2
Aldershot 2
Torquay 0
Kidderminster 0
Eastleigh 1
Nuneaton 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Norton United 3
Shildon 2
Warrington Town 1
North Ferriby United 0
Stockport County 2
Chester 4
East Thurrock Utd 7
Bath City 1
Gloucester City 1
Forest Green 4
Willand Rovers 1
Gosport Borough 3
Worcester 2
Greenwich Borough 1
Evesham 1
Bromley 2
Chelmsford 1
Barnet 4
Woking 2
Boreham Wood 1