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Marlow vs Hungerford

England England

Southern League Premier South 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Angell C.
58' Event
Nawaf N. O.
77'
Curtis B.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 game between Marlow and Hungerford finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hungerford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Marlow
15%
Draws
85%
Hungerford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hungerford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Hungerford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hungerford are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Hungerford have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Marlow Clean Sheet 15%
Hungerford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marlow Hungerford
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 3 8
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 1.42 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.71 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Marlow vs Hungerford
1:2
Dec 14, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Hungerford vs Marlow
4:0
Jul 2, 2016 Club Friendly
Hungerford vs Marlow
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marlow Compare

Top Goalscorer Nawaf N. O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Hungerford Compare

Top Goalscorer Angell C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marquez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marlow 11 / 100
Hungerford 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marlow Hungerford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hungerford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Marlow scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Hungerford has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Difficult form: Hungerford registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marlow VS Hungerford
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marlow

(Home)
18 Jul
Marlow
1 : 3
Ashford Town
30 Aug
Chatham
4 : 0
Marlow
26 Apr
Tiverton
3 : 2
Marlow
21 Apr
Marlow
1 : 4
Basingstoke
18 Apr
Gloucester City
7 : 0
Marlow
Page 1 of 7

Hungerford

(Away)
25 Apr
Chertsey Town
1 : 0
Hungerford
18 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 0
Dorchester
11 Apr
Hungerford
1 : 3
Basingstoke
06 Apr
Berkhamsted Town
4 : 1
Hungerford
03 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 2
Havant & Waterlooville
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Merthyr Town 42 27 10 5 105:46 91
2 AFC Totton 42 25 13 4 85:35 88
3 Walton & Hersham 42 24 11 7 90:54 83
4 Gloucester City 42 21 14 7 81:53 77
5 Dorchester 42 19 18 5 75:48 75
6 Havant & Waterlooville 42 21 11 10 84:49 74
7 Hungerford 42 16 11 15 63:55 59
8 Hanwell Town 42 15 13 14 58:62 58
9 Taunton Town 42 13 18 11 64:58 57
10 Wimborne 42 15 12 15 49:56 57
11 Sholing 42 14 10 18 59:68 52
12 Gosport Borough 42 13 12 17 53:61 51
13 Plymouth Parkway 42 14 8 20 63:77 50
14 Poole Town 42 13 10 19 48:62 49
15 Basingstoke 42 11 15 16 62:64 48
16 Chertsey Town 42 14 5 23 67:82 47
17 Tiverton 42 12 11 19 39:71 47
18 Bracknell Town 42 11 13 18 57:72 46
19 Winchester City 42 12 10 20 54:74 46
20 Swindon Supermarine 42 12 8 22 60:78 44
21 Frome Town 42 9 13 20 39:60 40
22 Marlow 42 5 6 31 45:115 21
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 (Play Offs)