Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maroons vs Kataka

Uganda Uganda

Premier League
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maroons host Kataka in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Maroons at 0.94 goals for, 1.03 against; Kataka at 1.24 for, 0.93 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.44, favoring Kataka. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Maroons
15%
Draws
46%
Kataka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kataka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Maroons haven't matched Kataka's recent run of results.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Maroons Clean Sheet 16%
Kataka Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maroons Kataka
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.94 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maroons 36 / 100
Kataka 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maroons Kataka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kataka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kataka let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Maroons scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Maroons remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Kataka has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maroons VS Kataka
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maroons

(Home)
17 Sept
UPDF FC
1 : 0
Maroons
08 Sept
Maroons
1 : 2
Blacks Power
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
30 Aug
Maroons
1 : 2
Uganda Revenue
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
Page 1 of 7

Kataka

(Away)
16 Sept
Kampala City
1 : 0
Kataka
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
29 Aug
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Kataka
06 Jun
Bright Stars
0 : 2
Kataka
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 NEC FC 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Villa 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Blacks Power 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Police 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Entebbe UPPC 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Lugazi 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
8 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Express FC 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
10 Kampala City 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 Vipers 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
12 Maroons 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
13 Uganda Revenue 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Kitara 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
15 Mbarara City 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
16 Kataka 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
17 Kigezi HomeBoyz 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Ntugasaze 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)