Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Maroons host Lugazi in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Maroons have averaged 0.94 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Lugazi's 0.63 scored and 1.23 conceded. Head-to-head, Maroons have won 4 to Lugazi's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.06, favoring Maroons. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Maroons lately — more wins on the board than Lugazi.
- Model gives Maroons a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Maroons have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maroons | Lugazi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lugazi has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Away concern: Lugazi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Maroons scored in 58% of their last 31 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Maroons
(Home)Lugazi
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Villa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 10 |
| 4 | Blacks Power | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Police | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Lugazi | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 8 | UPDF FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 9 | Express FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 10 | Kampala City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 11 | Vipers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Maroons | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Uganda Revenue | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 14 | Kitara | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 15 | Mbarara City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
| 16 | Kataka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 17 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 18 | Ntugasaze | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
