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Maroons vs Uganda Revenue

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Mutesa II Stadium, Kampala
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Ojok D.
Assist: Eturude A.
80' Event
Galiwango D.
Assist: Mugulusi I.
90' Event
Tusubira A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Maroons and Uganda Revenue finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uganda Revenue.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Maroons
15%
Draws
46%
Uganda Revenue
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda Revenue

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maroons come out ahead of Uganda Revenue on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Maroons Clean Sheet 20%
Uganda Revenue Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maroons Uganda Revenue
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.91 0.83
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League
Maroons vs Uganda Revenue
1:2
Apr 28, 2026 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Maroons
2:2
Nov 5, 2025 Premier League
Maroons vs Uganda Revenue
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Maroons
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Premier League
Maroons vs Uganda Revenue
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maroons Compare

Top Goalscorer Ojok D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Uganda Revenue Compare

Top Goalscorer Galiwango D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tusubira A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maroons 32 / 100
Uganda Revenue 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maroons Uganda Revenue

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda Revenue Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Uganda Revenue conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Maroons's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Maroons stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maroons VS Uganda Revenue
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maroons

(Home)
17 Sept
UPDF FC
1 : 0
Maroons
08 Sept
Maroons
1 : 2
Blacks Power
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
30 Aug
Maroons
1 : 2
Uganda Revenue
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
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Uganda Revenue

(Away)
15 Sept
NEC FC
4 : 1
Uganda Revenue
04 Sept
Uganda Revenue
0 : 1
Villa
30 Aug
Maroons
1 : 2
Uganda Revenue
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Uganda Revenue
0 : 0
Kampala City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 NEC FC 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Villa 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Blacks Power 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Police 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Entebbe UPPC 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Lugazi 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
8 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Express FC 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
10 Kampala City 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 Vipers 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
12 Maroons 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
13 Uganda Revenue 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Kitara 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
15 Mbarara City 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
16 Kataka 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
17 Kigezi HomeBoyz 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Ntugasaze 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)