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Marquense vs Antigua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Fernandez D.
47' Event
Fernandez D.
51'
Sub
Sanchez E. In: Grande D.
Out: Sanchez E.

AI Match Summary

Marquense in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marquense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Marquense
15%
Draws
64%
Antigua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Antigua have won more games recently than Marquense.
  • Win probability leans Antigua's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Marquense Clean Sheet 20%
Antigua Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marquense Antigua
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Antigua
2:1
Jul 25, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Marquense
3:1
Mar 24, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Marquense
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Antigua
1:1
Oct 16, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Antigua
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Antigua Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marquense 10 / 100
Antigua 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marquense Antigua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antigua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marquense scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Antigua conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Marquense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marquense VS Antigua
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marquense

(Home)
08 Nov
Marquense
0 : 2
Comunicaciones
03 Nov
Xelaju
2 : 0
Marquense
30 Oct
Marquense
0 : 0
Guastatoya
25 Oct
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Marquense
19 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 6

Antigua

(Away)
09 Nov
Antigua
2 : 0
Malacateco
01 Nov
Aurora F.C.
0 : 2
Antigua
30 Oct
Antigua
1 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
25 Oct
Comunicaciones
1 : 0
Antigua
20 Oct
Antigua
3 : 0
Xelaju
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 19 12 2 5 33:21 38
2 Deportivo Mixco 20 10 4 6 33:27 34
3 Xelaju 19 9 4 6 31:20 31
4 Guastatoya 19 9 4 6 27:22 31
5 Municipal 18 8 6 4 23:13 30
6 Deportivo San Pedro 19 7 5 7 22:22 26
7 Aurora F.C. 19 8 1 10 28:29 25
8 Coban Imperial 19 7 4 8 26:28 25
9 Marquense 19 7 4 8 18:25 25
10 Comunicaciones 19 7 2 10 24:28 23
11 Malacateco 19 5 4 10 18:28 19
12 Suchitepequez 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)