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Marquense vs Coban Imperial - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Chuc D.
33' Event
Grande D.
46'
Sub
Velasquez E. In: Matta A.
Out: Velasquez E.

AI Match Summary

Marquense in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marquense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Marquense
15%
Draws
59%
Coban Imperial
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coban Imperial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Coban Imperial haven't matched Marquense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Coban Imperial's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Marquense Clean Sheet 16%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marquense Coban Imperial
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Marquense
3:1
Aug 24, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Coban Imperial
2:1
Mar 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Coban Imperial
3:1
Jan 27, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Marquense
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Marquense
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Chuc D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grande D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Coban Imperial Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaral U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marquense 23 / 100
Coban Imperial 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marquense Coban Imperial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coban Imperial Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coban Imperial let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Marquense's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Marquense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marquense VS Coban Imperial
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marquense

(Home)
08 Nov
Marquense
0 : 2
Comunicaciones
03 Nov
Xelaju
2 : 0
Marquense
30 Oct
Marquense
0 : 0
Guastatoya
25 Oct
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Marquense
19 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 6

Coban Imperial

(Away)
08 Nov
Coban Imperial
0 : 1
Xelaju
02 Nov
Guastatoya
1 : 2
Coban Imperial
28 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
25 Oct
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Marquense
18 Oct
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Coban Imperial
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 19 12 2 5 33:21 38
2 Deportivo Mixco 20 10 4 6 33:27 34
3 Xelaju 19 9 4 6 31:20 31
4 Guastatoya 19 9 4 6 27:22 31
5 Municipal 18 8 6 4 23:13 30
6 Deportivo San Pedro 19 7 5 7 22:22 26
7 Aurora F.C. 19 8 1 10 28:29 25
8 Coban Imperial 19 7 4 8 26:28 25
9 Marquense 19 7 4 8 18:25 25
10 Comunicaciones 19 7 2 10 24:28 23
11 Malacateco 19 5 4 10 18:28 19
12 Suchitepequez 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)