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Marquense vs Deportivo Mixco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
03:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marquense host Deportivo Mixco in the Liga Nacional. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Marquense have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Deportivo Mixco's 1.48 scored and 1.42 conceded. Head-to-head, Marquense have won 1 to Deportivo Mixco's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.56) point toward Deportivo Mixco. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Marquense
15%
Draws
40%
Deportivo Mixco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Mixco come out ahead of Marquense on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Deportivo Mixco have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Marquense Clean Sheet 15%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marquense Deportivo Mixco
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense
1:0
Apr 7, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense
2:1
Feb 20, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Deportivo Mixco
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Deportivo Mixco
1:2
Sep 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Marquense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marquense 30 / 100
Deportivo Mixco 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marquense Deportivo Mixco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marquense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marquense scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Deportivo Mixco let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Marquense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marquense VS Deportivo Mixco
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marquense

(Home)
03 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Antigua
27 Sept
Marquense
1 : 0
Malacateco
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Marquense
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
10 Sept
Comunicaciones
0 : 2
Marquense
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Mixco

(Away)
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
09 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
05 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 0
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
9 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
10 Aurora F.C. 12 4 0 8 17:21 12
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)