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Marquense vs Guastatoya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Santos C.
4'
Hernandez Y.
9'
Tejeda A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Marquense
30%
Draws
39%
Guastatoya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Guastatoya average 1.33 goals a game right now, well clear of Marquense's 0.97.
  • Marquense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Marquense Clean Sheet 68%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marquense Guastatoya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Guastatoya
0:0
Aug 29, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Marquense
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Marquense
4:0
Mar 5, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Guastatoya
2:2
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Marquense
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marquense 50 / 100
Guastatoya 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marquense Guastatoya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marquense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Marquense scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Guastatoya let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Marquense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marquense VS Guastatoya
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marquense

(Home)
08 Nov
Marquense
0 : 2
Comunicaciones
03 Nov
Xelaju
2 : 0
Marquense
30 Oct
Marquense
0 : 0
Guastatoya
25 Oct
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Marquense
19 Oct
Marquense
2 : 1
Suchitepequez
Page 1 of 6

Guastatoya

(Away)
07 Nov
Guastatoya
4 : 0
Suchitepequez
02 Nov
Guastatoya
1 : 2
Coban Imperial
30 Oct
Marquense
0 : 0
Guastatoya
25 Oct
Guastatoya
1 : 3
Deportivo Mixco
19 Oct
Municipal
1 : 1
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 19 12 2 5 33:21 38
2 Deportivo Mixco 20 10 4 6 33:27 34
3 Xelaju 19 9 4 6 31:20 31
4 Guastatoya 19 9 4 6 27:22 31
5 Municipal 18 8 6 4 23:13 30
6 Deportivo San Pedro 19 7 5 7 22:22 26
7 Aurora F.C. 19 8 1 10 28:29 25
8 Coban Imperial 19 7 4 8 26:28 25
9 Marquense 19 7 4 8 18:25 25
10 Comunicaciones 19 7 2 10 24:28 23
11 Malacateco 19 5 4 10 18:28 19
12 Suchitepequez 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)