Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marquense vs Malacateco

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Soto A.
8'
Chuc D.
27'
Hernandez Y.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Marquense and Malacateco finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marquense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Marquense
20%
Draws
40%
Malacateco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marquense come out ahead of Malacateco on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Marquense Clean Sheet 18%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marquense Malacateco
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.07 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Malacateco
1:0
Jan 22, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Marquense
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Marquense
2:1
Aug 25, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Malacateco
4:1
Apr 27, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Malacateco
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marquense 32 / 100
Malacateco 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marquense Malacateco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malacateco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marquense found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Malacateco let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Marquense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marquense VS Malacateco
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marquense

(Home)
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Marquense
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
10 Sept
Comunicaciones
0 : 2
Marquense
06 Sept
Marquense
0 : 4
Xelaju
29 Aug
Guastatoya
1 : 2
Marquense
Page 1 of 6

Malacateco

(Away)
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
06 Sept
Malacateco
2 : 0
Suchitepequez
30 Aug
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Malacateco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
2 Guastatoya 11 7 1 3 17:12 22
3 Antigua 9 7 0 2 19:12 21
4 Deportivo San Pedro 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
5 Xelaju 10 4 3 3 20:11 15
6 Deportivo Mixco 10 5 0 5 16:16 15
7 Marquense 10 4 1 5 10:14 13
8 Aurora F.C. 10 4 0 6 14:16 12
9 Malacateco 10 3 3 4 12:16 12
10 Comunicaciones 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
11 Coban Imperial 10 1 4 5 10:16 7
12 Suchitepequez 11 1 3 7 11:23 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)