Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marquense vs Xelaju

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Garcia L.
13' Event
Jaen Y.
31'
Santos C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Marquense and Xelaju finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xelaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Marquense
30%
Draws
37%
Xelaju
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Xelaju carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Xelaju a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Marquense Clean Sheet 17%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marquense Xelaju
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Xelaju
0:4
May 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Marquense
2:0
Apr 30, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Xelaju
1:1
Apr 2, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Xelaju
1:0
Feb 16, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Marquense
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marquense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Xelaju Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaen Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Casas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marquense 23 / 100
Xelaju 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marquense Xelaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marquense found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Xelaju let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Marquense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marquense VS Xelaju
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marquense

(Home)
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Marquense
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
10 Sept
Comunicaciones
0 : 2
Marquense
06 Sept
Marquense
0 : 4
Xelaju
29 Aug
Guastatoya
1 : 2
Marquense
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Xelaju

(Away)
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
06 Sept
Marquense
0 : 4
Xelaju
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
2 Guastatoya 11 7 1 3 17:12 22
3 Antigua 9 7 0 2 19:12 21
4 Deportivo San Pedro 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
5 Xelaju 10 4 3 3 20:11 15
6 Deportivo Mixco 10 5 0 5 16:16 15
7 Marquense 10 4 1 5 10:14 13
8 Aurora F.C. 10 4 0 6 14:16 12
9 Malacateco 10 3 3 4 12:16 12
10 Comunicaciones 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
11 Coban Imperial 10 1 4 5 10:16 7
12 Suchitepequez 11 1 3 7 11:23 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)