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Marquense vs Zacapa

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos
Sat, Feb 8, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marquense host Zacapa in the Liga Nacional 2024/2025. This has Marquense written all over it on paper. Zacapa have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Marquense have conceded 1.18 and scored 0.94. Head-to-head, Marquense have won 2 to Zacapa's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.10 - 1.25) back Marquense to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Marquense
20%
Draws
10%
Zacapa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Zacapa haven't matched Marquense's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Marquense Clean Sheet 19%
Zacapa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marquense Zacapa
Matches Played 34 14
Wins 14 0
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.94 0.36
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Zacapa
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Marquense
0:0
Apr 4, 2012 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Marquense
1:0
Feb 12, 2012 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Zacapa
4:0
Oct 29, 2011 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Zacapa
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marquense 32 / 100
Zacapa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marquense Zacapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marquense scored in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Zacapa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 14 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Marquense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marquense VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marquense

(Home)
27 Sept
Marquense
1 : 0
Malacateco
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Marquense
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
10 Sept
Comunicaciones
0 : 2
Marquense
06 Sept
Marquense
0 : 4
Xelaju
Page 1 of 7

Zacapa

(Away)
24 Nov
Zacapa
1 : 2
Antigua
21 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
10 Nov
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Zacapa
03 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
27 Oct
Xinabajul
2 : 0
Zacapa
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)