Sport Picks
Marsaxlokk vs Kercem Ajax
Malta
FA Trophy 2021/2022 
AI Match Summary
Marsaxlokk in this FA Trophy 2021/2022 tie, finishing 5-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marsaxlokk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Kercem Ajax at 2.63 per game, Marsaxlokk at 1.48.
- Model gives Marsaxlokk a 65% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Marsaxlokk, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Marsaxlokk Clean Sheet 17%
Kercem Ajax Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marsaxlokk | Kercem Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 8, 2021 FA Trophy
Marsaxlokk vs Kercem Ajax
5:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marsaxlokk 84 / 100
Kercem Ajax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marsaxlokk Kercem Ajax
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marsaxlokk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kercem Ajax has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.
Marsaxlokk scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Solid form: Marsaxlokk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Marsaxlokk VS Kercem Ajax
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Marsaxlokk
(Home) 18 Sept
Hamrun
4 : 1 Marsaxlokk
12 Sept
Floriana
2 : 5 Marsaxlokk
05 Sept
Marsaxlokk
1 : 1 Mosta FC
28 Aug
Valletta
1 : 2 Marsaxlokk
21 Aug
Marsaxlokk
1 : 0 Hibernians
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05 Sept
Marsaxlokk
1 : 1 Mosta FC
21 Aug
Marsaxlokk
1 : 0 Hibernians
08 Aug
Marsaxlokk
0 : 1 Gzira
25 Jul
Marsaxlokk
0 : 0 Zabbar
09 Jul
Marsaxlokk
0 : 3 Pyunik Yerevan
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Kercem Ajax
(Away) 18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0 Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2 Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0 Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2 Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0 Kercem Ajax
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18 Mar
Birzebbuga
1 : 0 Kercem Ajax
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2 Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Zurrieq
4 : 0 Kercem Ajax
13 Dec
Zejtun
3 : 2 Kercem Ajax
15 Feb
Hibernians
8 : 0 Kercem Ajax
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Gzira -
TBD -
Zabbar 3
Mqabba FC 0
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Zebbug 4
Zurrieq 1
St. Andrews 3
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Sliema -
TBD -
Vittoriosa 2
Mellieha 0
Pembroke -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 5
Kercem Ajax 2
Marsa -
TBD -
Senglea 1
Tarxien 2
Sannat Lions 1
Marsaskala FC 2
TBD -
Valletta -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Victoria Wanderers 1
Melita 3
Mgarr 1
St. George's FC 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Lija 0
Fgura 4
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Pieta 3
Rabat Ajax 2
Hamrun -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions 2
San Gwann 1
Zejtun -
TBD -
Qrendi 1
Xewkija 4
Hibernians -
TBD -
Nadur 7
Oratory 0
1/16-finals
Gzira 4
Zabbar 0
Gudja 4
Swieqi 0
Zebbug 0
St. Andrews 2
Santa Lucia 4
Sirens 1
Sliema 3
Vittoriosa 0
Pembroke 0
Marsaxlokk 1
Marsa 0
Tarxien 2
Marsaskala FC 0
Valletta 5
Floriana 1
Ghajnsielem 0
Melita 1
St. George's FC 2
Birkirkara 4
Fgura 0
Mosta FC 5
Luqa 0
Balzan FC 5
Pieta 1
Hamrun 1
Naxxar Lions 0
Zejtun 7
Xewkija 1
Hibernians 2
Nadur 0
1/8-finals
Gzira 3
Gudja 1
St. Andrews 1
Santa Lucia 2
Sliema 1
Marsaxlokk 2
Tarxien 1
Valletta 5
Floriana 2
St. George's FC 0
Birkirkara 1
Mosta FC 0
Balzan FC 1
Hamrun 2
Zejtun 1
Hibernians 2
Quarter-finals
Gzira 0
Santa Lucia 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Valletta 3
Floriana 3
Birkirkara 1
Hamrun 1
Hibernians 2
Semi-finals
Santa Lucia 0
Valletta 1
Floriana 2
Hibernians 1
Final
Valletta 1
Floriana 2
