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Marseille Endoume vs Frejus Saint Raphael - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 2 - Group D 2019/2020
Sat, May 2, 2020
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marseille Endoume host Frejus Saint Raphael in the National 2 - Group D 2019/2020. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Frejus Saint Raphael have shipped 1.61 goals a game lately, while Marseille Endoume have conceded 1.67 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Frejus Saint Raphael slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.48 xG vs 1.05) point toward Frejus Saint Raphael. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Marseille Endoume
20%
Draws
44%
Frejus Saint Raphael
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Frejus Saint Raphael

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Frejus Saint Raphael lately — more wins on the board than Marseille Endoume.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Frejus Saint Raphael have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Marseille Endoume Clean Sheet 20%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marseille Endoume Frejus Saint Raphael
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 3 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2020 National 2 - Group D
Marseille Endoume vs Frejus Saint Raphael
0:0
Nov 30, 2019 National 2 - Group D
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Marseille Endoume
1:0
May 25, 2019 National 1 - Group A
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Marseille Endoume
1:0
Aug 11, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Marseille Endoume vs Frejus Saint Raphael
1:2
Apr 14, 2007 National 1 - Group B
Marseille Endoume vs Frejus Saint Raphael
1:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marseille Endoume 31 / 100
Frejus Saint Raphael 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marseille Endoume Frejus Saint Raphael

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille Endoume Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marseille Endoume scored in 67% of their last 21 outings.

Frejus Saint Raphael has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Marseille Endoume went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Frejus Saint Raphael
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marseille Endoume

(Home)
07 Mar
Nimes II
0 : 0
Marseille Endoume
22 Feb
Marseille Endoume
3 : 3
Annecy
15 Feb
Hyeres
3 : 0
Marseille Endoume
08 Feb
Marseille Endoume
3 : 0
Marseille II
25 Jan
Lyon II
2 : 0
Marseille Endoume
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Frejus Saint Raphael

(Away)
03 Oct
Bourges 18
0 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0
Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annecy 21 12 6 3 30:16 42
2 RC Grasse 21 11 7 3 28:17 40
3 GOAL FC 21 11 6 4 32:19 39
4 Moulins-Yzeure 21 11 6 4 30:21 39
5 Martigues 21 10 7 4 27:20 37
6 Louhans Cuiseaux 21 10 6 5 42:24 36
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 21 6 9 6 21:22 27
8 Lyon II 21 7 4 10 28:31 25
9 Hyeres 21 6 7 8 13:21 25
10 Marseille II 21 7 3 11 27:38 24
11 Jura Sud 21 6 5 10 24:37 23
12 Monaco II 21 6 4 11 26:34 22
13 Marignane GCB 21 5 7 9 19:23 22
14 Saint Priest 21 4 9 8 24:27 21
15 Marseille Endoume 21 4 7 10 23:33 19
16 Nimes II 21 3 5 13 19:30 13
Promotion - National 2020/2021 (Main)