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Stadium Background

Marseille vs Nice

World World

Club Friendly Centre d'entrainement Robert-Louis-Dreyfus, Marseille
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mantsounga B.
41' Event
Diop S.
46'
Sub
Diop S. In: Laarej N.
Out: Diop S.

AI Match Summary

Nice in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Marseille
30%
Draws
35%
Nice
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marseille lately — more wins on the board than Nice.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Marseille Clean Sheet 19%
Nice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marseille Nice
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 3 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Marseille vs Nice
0:3
Apr 26, 2026 Ligue 1
Marseille vs Nice
1:1
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 1
Nice vs Marseille
1:5
Jan 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Nice vs Marseille
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Marseille vs Nice
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marseille Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nice Compare

Top Goalscorer Mantsounga B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diop S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marseille 31 / 100
Nice 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marseille Nice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marseille's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Nice let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Marseille went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marseille VS Nice
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marseille

(Home)
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1
Marseille
11 Sept
Rennes
1 : 0
Marseille
06 Sept
Marseille
2 : 3
Paris FC
30 Aug
Monaco
2 : 0
Marseille
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0
Strasbourg
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Nice

(Away)
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
15 Aug
Hull City
0 : 0
Nice
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