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Marseille vs Nimes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Centre d'entrainement Robert-Louis-Dreyfus, Marseille
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Doumbouya S.
8' Event
Maupay N.
46'
Sub
Bennour N. In: Diarra D.
Out: Bennour N.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Marseille and Nimes finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marseille.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Marseille
15%
Draws
85%
Nimes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nimes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nimes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Nimes taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Marseille Clean Sheet 11%
Nimes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marseille Nimes
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.46 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Marseille vs Nimes
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Marseille vs Nimes
0:2
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Marseille vs Nimes
2:0
Jan 16, 2021 Ligue 1
Marseille vs Nimes
1:2
Dec 4, 2020 Ligue 1
Nimes vs Marseille
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marseille Compare

Top Goalscorer Maupay N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paixao I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nimes Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbouya S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marseille 10 / 100
Nimes 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marseille Nimes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nimes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marseille found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Nimes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Marseille VS Nimes
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marseille

(Home)
20 Sept
Marseille
1 : 2
PSG
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1
Marseille
11 Sept
Rennes
1 : 0
Marseille
06 Sept
Marseille
2 : 3
Paris FC
30 Aug
Monaco
2 : 0
Marseille
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Nimes

(Away)
03 Oct
Nimes
1 : 1
Hyeres
19 Sept
Hauts Lyonnais
1 : 3
Nimes
12 Sept
Nimes
4 : 0
Troyes II
05 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
0 : 1
Nimes
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
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