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Marseille vs Nimes

World World

Club Friendly Centre d'entrainement Robert-Louis-Dreyfus, Marseille
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Doumbouya S.
8' Event
Maupay N.
46'
Sub
Bennour N. In: Diarra D.
Out: Bennour N.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Marseille and Nimes finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marseille.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Marseille
15%
Draws
34%
Nimes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marseille

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nimes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Marseille taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Marseille Clean Sheet 68%
Nimes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marseille Nimes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.79 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Marseille vs Nimes
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Marseille vs Nimes
0:2
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Marseille vs Nimes
2:0
Jan 16, 2021 Ligue 1
Marseille vs Nimes
1:2
Dec 4, 2020 Ligue 1
Nimes vs Marseille
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marseille Compare

Top Goalscorer Maupay N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paixao I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Nimes Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbouya S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marseille 68 / 100
Nimes 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marseille Nimes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marseille found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Marseille stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Nimes lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marseille VS Nimes
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marseille

(Home)
14 Aug
Marseille
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid
09 Aug
Marseille
3 : 1
Ath Bilbao
05 Aug
Marseille
3 : 0
Al-Shahaniya
30 Jul
Marseille
2 : 1
Nimes
25 Jul
Marseille
0 : 3
Nice
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Nimes

(Away)
30 Jul
Marseille
2 : 1
Nimes
22 Jul
Rodez
2 : 1
Nimes
18 Jul
Nice
4 : 0
Nimes
16 May
Limonest
2 : 3
Nimes
09 May
Nimes
3 : 0
Istres
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