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Marseille vs Olympiacos Piraeus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marseille host Olympiacos Piraeus in the Europa League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Marseille have averaged 1.46 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against Olympiacos Piraeus's 1.38 scored and 0.9 conceded. Head-to-head, Marseille have won 3 to Olympiacos Piraeus's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 1, 2020, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.75) point toward Olympiacos Piraeus. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Marseille
15%
Draws
85%
Olympiacos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olympiacos Piraeus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olympiacos Piraeus come out ahead of Marseille on wins alone.
  • Model gives Olympiacos Piraeus a 85% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Marseille Clean Sheet 12%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marseille Olympiacos Piraeus
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.46 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.68 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2020 Champions League
Marseille vs Olympiacos Piraeus
2:1
Oct 21, 2020 Champions League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Marseille
1:0
Nov 23, 2011 Champions League
Marseille vs Olympiacos Piraeus
0:1
Sep 13, 2011 Champions League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Marseille
0:1
Sep 27, 1994 Europa League
Marseille vs Olympiacos Piraeus
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marseille 14 / 100
Olympiacos Piraeus 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marseille Olympiacos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympiacos Piraeus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marseille's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Olympiacos Piraeus let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Olympiacos Piraeus has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marseille VS Olympiacos Piraeus
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marseille

(Home)
20 Sept
Marseille
1 : 2
PSG
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1
Marseille
11 Sept
Rennes
1 : 0
Marseille
06 Sept
Marseille
2 : 3
Paris FC
30 Aug
Monaco
2 : 0
Marseille
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Olympiacos Piraeus

(Away)
20 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
16 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
08 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 2
Volos
05 Sept
Volos
1 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Sparta Prague 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
5 Royale Union SG 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Ferencvaros 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Benfica 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 OFI Crete 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Lyon 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Torreense 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Salzburg 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
15 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 Omonia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 Sturm Graz 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
18 Rennes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
19 Din. Zagreb 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
20 H. Beer Sheva 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
21 Jagiellonia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
22 Real Sociedad 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
23 Anderlecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
24 Lillestrom 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Celta Vigo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Levski Sofia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Celtic 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
29 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 AC Milan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
31 Celje 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 Marseille 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Ararat-Armenia 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Plzen 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
35 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
36 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)