Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Sub
Paixao I. In: Gomes A.
Out: Paixao I.
32'
32'
Weah T.
39'
39'
Mendes N.
AI Match Summary
PSG in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSG
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- PSG have won more games recently than Marseille.
- Win probability leans PSG's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
- History favors PSG here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Marseille Clean Sheet 14%
PSG Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marseille | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 35 |
| Wins | 13 | 21 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 2.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Ligue 1
Marseille vs PSG
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 Ligue 1
PSG vs Marseille
5:0
Jan 8, 2026 Super Cup
PSG vs Marseille
3:2
Sep 22, 2025 Ligue 1
Marseille vs PSG
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Ligue 1
PSG vs Marseille
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marseille Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomes A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
PSG Compare
Top Goalscorer Torres F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marquinhos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marseille 10 / 100
PSG 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marseille PSG
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Marseille scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: PSG conceded in 63% of 35 recent games.
PSG's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Marseille VS PSG
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Marseille
(Home) 20 Sept
Marseille
1 : 2 PSG
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1 Marseille
11 Sept
Rennes
1 : 0 Marseille
06 Sept
Marseille
2 : 3 Paris FC
30 Aug
Monaco
2 : 0 Marseille
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Marseille
1 : 2 PSG
06 Sept
Marseille
2 : 3 Paris FC
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0 Strasbourg
14 Aug
Marseille
1 : 2 Atl. Madrid
09 Aug
Marseille
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 4
PSG
(Away) 20 Sept
Marseille
1 : 2 PSG
13 Sept
Brest
0 : 1 PSG
09 Sept
PSG
6 : 1 Slovan Bratislava
04 Sept
PSG
1 : 2 Monaco
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2 PSG
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Marseille
1 : 2 PSG
13 Sept
Brest
0 : 1 PSG
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2 PSG
23 Aug
Rennes
2 : 2 PSG
16 Aug
Lens
1 : 0 PSG
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 2 | Lyon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 5 | Rennes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 6 | PSG | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 11 | Brest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 12 | Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 14 | Nice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 15 | Lens | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Troyes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | 4 |
| 17 | Marseille | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
