Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marseille W vs Toulouse W

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women Centre d'entrainement Robert-Louis-Dreyfus, Marseille
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Marseille W
30%
Draws
6%
Toulouse W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marseille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Marseille W haven't matched Toulouse W's recent run of results.
  • Marseille W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Toulouse W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marseille W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Marseille W Clean Sheet 17%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marseille W Toulouse W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.78 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Toulouse W
3:0
Nov 15, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Marseille W
1:3
May 18, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Toulouse W
3:1
Sep 29, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Marseille W
1:1
Apr 23, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Marseille W
4:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marseille W 84 / 100
Toulouse W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marseille W Toulouse W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Marseille W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Marseille W found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Toulouse W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Marseille W VS Toulouse W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marseille W

(Home)
03 Oct
Strasbourg W
3 : 3
Marseille W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
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Toulouse W

(Away)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Lens W 3 2 0 1 5:1 7
3 St Etienne W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Strasbourg W 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
5 Saint-Malo W 2 2 0 0 4:1 5
6 Auxerre W 2 2 0 0 4:2 5
7 Thonon Evian W 3 2 0 1 6:10 5
8 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Le Mans W 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
10 Fleury 91 W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
11 Roubaix W 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
12 Montpellier W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Le Havre W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
14 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Nice W 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
16 Lille W 3 0 0 3 5:8 1
17 Cannes W 2 0 0 2 4:7 1
18 Bourges 18 W 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
19 Toulouse W 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)