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Marske United vs Spennymoor

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Trialist
62' Event
Carmichael M.
90' Event
Mondal J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Marske United and Spennymoor finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spennymoor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Marske United
20%
Draws
36%
Spennymoor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marske United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Spennymoor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Spennymoor are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spennymoor here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Marske United Clean Sheet 10%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marske United Spennymoor
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 0 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Marske United vs Spennymoor
1:2
Dec 15, 2020 FA Trophy
Spennymoor vs Marske United
6:2
Sep 19, 2020 Club Friendly
Marske United vs Spennymoor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marske United Compare

Top Goalscorer Carmichael M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Spennymoor Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mondal J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marske United 26 / 100
Spennymoor 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marske United Spennymoor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spennymoor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spennymoor has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Marske United scored in 50% of their last 10 games.

Marske United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marske United VS Spennymoor
0 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marske United

(Home)
05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0
Marske United
09 Jul
Marske United
1 : 2
Spennymoor
30 Dec
Marske United
0 : 2
Morpeth
26 Dec
Guiseley
2 : 3
Marske United
23 Dec
Marske United
1 : 0
Ashton United
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Spennymoor

(Away)
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2
Spennymoor
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4
Spennymoor
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3
Spalding United
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
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