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Marske United vs United of Manchester

England England

NPL Premier Division 2023/2024
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Match Events

14' Event
Charles J.
17' Event
Cane M.
18' Event
Griffiths L.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 game between Marske United and United of Manchester finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward United of Manchester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Marske United
33%
Draws
40%
United of Manchester
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: United of Manchester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • United of Manchester carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives United of Manchester a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Marske United Clean Sheet 13%
United of Manchester Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marske United United of Manchester
Matches Played 11 33
Wins 5 15
Draws 0 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 0 2.25
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2024 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Marske United
0:0
Oct 3, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Marske United vs United of Manchester
2:5
Mar 25, 2023 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Marske United
2:1
Oct 15, 2022 NPL Premier Division
Marske United vs United of Manchester
0:2
Nov 13, 2021 FA Trophy
Marske United vs United of Manchester
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marske United Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leech L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

United of Manchester Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Charles J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marske United 27 / 100
United of Manchester 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marske United United of Manchester

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United of Manchester's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Marske United found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (11 games).

Away concern: United of Manchester has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS United of Manchester
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Radcliffe402839103:5887
2Macclesfield402451184:4777
3Marine402371087:4476
4Warrington Rylands402112765:4275
5Worksop402171272:4970
6Hyde4019101168:4867
7Ashton United4019101173:6367
8Gainsborough401961566:6363
9Lancaster401881460:6262
10Guiseley401871569:6361
11Ilkeston401861669:6260
12Whitby401781560:5056
13Morpeth401481876:8150
14United of Manchester401542155:7748
15Matlock401452162:7747
16Bamber Bridge4012111763:8247
17Workington4011111867:8144
18Basford Utd.409102144:6537
19Bradford PA40792450:8530
20Stafford40932836:8130
21Atherton Collieries40742947:9625
22Marske United00000:00