Sport Picks
Marske United vs Workington Prediction & H2H Stats
England
NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 
Match Events
45'
45'
Gbadebo C.
52'
52'
Round C.
73'
73'
Boyes A.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 game between Marske United and Workington finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marske United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Workington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Workington carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Marske United Clean Sheet 10%
Workington Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marske United | Workington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 10 | 27 |
| Wins | 3 | 14 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 FA Cup
Workington vs Marske United
3:0
Mar 16, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Workington vs Marske United
0:0
Oct 24, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Marske United vs Workington
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marske United Compare
Top Goalscorer Gbadebo C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Round C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Workington Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marske United 30 / 100
Workington 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marske United Workington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Workington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Workington conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Marske United scored in 50% of their last 10 games.
Marske United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Marske United VS Workington
0 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Marske United
(Home) 05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0 Marske United
09 Jul
Marske United
1 : 2 Spennymoor
30 Dec
Marske United
0 : 2 Morpeth
26 Dec
Guiseley
2 : 3 Marske United
23 Dec
Marske United
1 : 0 Ashton United
Page 1 of 2
09 Jul
Marske United
1 : 2 Spennymoor
30 Dec
Marske United
0 : 2 Morpeth
23 Dec
Marske United
1 : 0 Ashton United
25 Nov
Marske United
3 : 2 Gainsborough
04 Nov
Marske United
0 : 1 Macclesfield
Workington
(Away) 03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3 Workington
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2 Blyth Spartans
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1 Workington
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
AFC Emley
1 : 3 Workington
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1 Workington
31 Aug
Lancaster
0 : 3 Workington
22 Aug
United of Manchester
1 : 2 Workington
19 Aug
Avro
4 : 1 Workington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Radcliffe | 40 | 28 | 3 | 9 | 103:58 | 87 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 40 | 24 | 5 | 11 | 84:47 | 77 |
| 3 | Marine | 40 | 23 | 7 | 10 | 87:44 | 76 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 65:42 | 75 |
| 5 | Worksop | 40 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 72:49 | 70 |
| 6 | Hyde | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 68:48 | 67 |
| 7 | Ashton United | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 73:63 | 67 |
| 8 | Gainsborough | 40 | 19 | 6 | 15 | 66:63 | 63 |
| 9 | Lancaster | 40 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 60:62 | 62 |
| 10 | Guiseley | 40 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 69:63 | 61 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 18 | 6 | 16 | 69:62 | 60 |
| 12 | Whitby | 40 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 60:50 | 56 |
| 13 | Morpeth | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 76:81 | 50 |
| 14 | United of Manchester | 40 | 15 | 4 | 21 | 55:77 | 48 |
| 15 | Matlock | 40 | 14 | 5 | 21 | 62:77 | 47 |
| 16 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 63:82 | 47 |
| 17 | Workington | 40 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 67:81 | 44 |
| 18 | Basford Utd. | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 44:65 | 37 |
| 19 | Bradford PA | 40 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 50:85 | 30 |
| 20 | Stafford | 40 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 36:81 | 30 |
| 21 | Atherton Collieries | 40 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 47:96 | 25 |
| 22 | Marske United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - National League North 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
