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Marske United vs Worksop

England England

NPL Premier Division 2023/2024
Tue, Jan 9, 2024
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marske United host Worksop in the NPL Premier Division 2023/2024. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Marske United at 0.9 goals for, 1.9 against; Worksop at 1.97 for, 1.41 against. Past meetings favor Worksop slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 9, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.23 - 2.81) back Worksop to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Marske United
15%
Draws
46%
Worksop
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Worksop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Worksop come out ahead of Marske United on wins alone.
  • Worksop are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Marske United Clean Sheet 10%
Worksop Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marske United Worksop
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 3 16
Draws 0 2
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Marske United vs Worksop
0:0
Aug 15, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Worksop vs Marske United
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marske United 26 / 100
Worksop 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marske United Worksop

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Worksop Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Worksop conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Marske United found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (10 games).

Marske United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marske United VS Worksop
0 Goals Scored 2.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marske United

(Home)
05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0
Marske United
09 Jul
Marske United
1 : 2
Spennymoor
30 Dec
Marske United
0 : 2
Morpeth
26 Dec
Guiseley
2 : 3
Marske United
23 Dec
Marske United
1 : 0
Ashton United
Page 1 of 2

Worksop

(Away)
26 Sept
Chester
4 : 1
Worksop
22 Sept
Worksop
5 : 2
Telford
19 Sept
Telford
2 : 2
Worksop
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0
Southport
08 Sept
Worksop
1 : 2
Bedford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Radcliffe 40 28 3 9 103:58 87
2 Macclesfield 40 24 5 11 84:47 77
3 Marine 40 23 7 10 87:44 76
4 Warrington Rylands 40 21 12 7 65:42 75
5 Worksop 40 21 7 12 72:49 70
6 Hyde 40 19 10 11 68:48 67
7 Ashton United 40 19 10 11 73:63 67
8 Gainsborough 40 19 6 15 66:63 63
9 Lancaster 40 18 8 14 60:62 62
10 Guiseley 40 18 7 15 69:63 61
11 Ilkeston 40 18 6 16 69:62 60
12 Whitby 40 17 8 15 60:50 56
13 Morpeth 40 14 8 18 76:81 50
14 United of Manchester 40 15 4 21 55:77 48
15 Matlock 40 14 5 21 62:77 47
16 Bamber Bridge 40 12 11 17 63:82 47
17 Workington 40 11 11 18 67:81 44
18 Basford Utd. 40 9 10 21 44:65 37
19 Bradford PA 40 7 9 24 50:85 30
20 Stafford 40 9 3 28 36:81 30
21 Atherton Collieries 40 7 4 29 47:96 25
22 Marske United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - National League North 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 (Play Offs)