Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marsonia vs Jadran Porec

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Zuljevic M.
34' Event
Zuljevic M.
41' Event
Ivetic M.

AI Match Summary

Marsonia in this Druga NL 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marsonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Marsonia
15%
Draws
0%
Jadran Porec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marsonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marsonia lately — more wins on the board than Jadran Porec.
  • Model gives Marsonia a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Marsonia have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 13%
Jadran Porec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marsonia Jadran Porec
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 1 1
Losses 19 26
Goals Scored 1.3 0.77
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 Druga NL
Jadran Porec vs Marsonia
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Jadran Porec
3:1
Jun 1, 2024 Druga NL
Jadran Porec vs Marsonia
1:3
Nov 25, 2023 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Jadran Porec
2:0
Apr 1, 2023 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Jadran Porec
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marsonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuljevic M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kus A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Jadran Porec Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivetic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marsonia 84 / 100
Jadran Porec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marsonia Jadran Porec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marsonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jadran Porec let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Jadran Porec's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Marsonia's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Marsonia VS Jadran Porec
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marsonia

(Home)
27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0
Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0
Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0
Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Bjelovar
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Jadran Porec

(Away)
26 Aug
Maksimir
3 : 2
Jadran Porec
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Solin
6 : 0
Jadran Porec
17 May
Grobnican
2 : 0
Jadran Porec
10 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Trnje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hrvace 30 20 4 6 71:41 64
2 Karlovac 30 19 5 6 50:20 62
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 16 7 7 62:38 55
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 16 7 7 55:32 55
5 Solin 30 17 3 10 54:33 54
6 Bjelovar 30 16 6 8 56:37 54
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 14 6 10 49:37 48
8 Kustosija 30 13 9 8 51:40 48
9 Uljanik Pula 30 10 6 14 41:45 36
10 Trnje 30 9 8 13 40:53 35
11 Segesta 30 10 4 16 50:69 34
12 Dragovoljac 30 9 5 16 36:45 32
13 Marsonia 30 10 1 19 40:75 31
14 Dugo Selo 30 8 6 16 45:60 30
15 Grobnican 30 8 4 18 33:59 28
16 Jadran Porec 30 3 3 24 25:74 12
Promotion - Prva NL 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)