Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marsonia vs Karlovac

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Buneta A.
67' Event
Pamic Z.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2024/2025 game between Marsonia and Karlovac finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlovac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Marsonia
15%
Draws
37%
Karlovac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marsonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Karlovac carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Karlovac a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Druga NL 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 20%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marsonia Karlovac
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 1 6
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2025 Druga NL
Karlovac vs Marsonia
6:0
Nov 16, 2024 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Karlovac
0:2
Aug 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Karlovac vs Marsonia
0:3
May 17, 2024 Druga NL
Karlovac vs Marsonia
2:1
Nov 11, 2023 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Karlovac
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marsonia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Karlovac Compare

Top Goalscorer Buneta A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pamic Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marsonia 28 / 100
Karlovac 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marsonia Karlovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Karlovac conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Marsonia scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Marsonia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Karlovac
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marsonia

(Home)
27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0
Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0
Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0
Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Bjelovar
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Karlovac

(Away)
27 Sept
Segesta
1 : 1
Karlovac
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Karlovac
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hrvace 30 20 4 6 71:41 64
2 Karlovac 30 19 5 6 50:20 62
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 16 7 7 62:38 55
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 16 7 7 55:32 55
5 Solin 30 17 3 10 54:33 54
6 Bjelovar 30 16 6 8 56:37 54
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 14 6 10 49:37 48
8 Kustosija 30 13 9 8 51:40 48
9 Uljanik Pula 30 10 6 14 41:45 36
10 Trnje 30 9 8 13 40:53 35
11 Segesta 30 10 4 16 50:69 34
12 Dragovoljac 30 9 5 16 36:45 32
13 Marsonia 30 10 1 19 40:75 31
14 Dugo Selo 30 8 6 16 45:60 30
15 Grobnican 30 8 4 18 33:59 28
16 Jadran Porec 30 3 3 24 25:74 12
Promotion - Prva NL 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)