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Marsonia vs Uljanik Pula

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Lelic S.
43' Event
Lelic S.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2024/2025 game between Marsonia and Uljanik Pula finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marsonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Marsonia
20%
Draws
38%
Uljanik Pula
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marsonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uljanik Pula come out ahead of Marsonia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Marsonia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 19%
Uljanik Pula Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marsonia Uljanik Pula
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 11 19
Draws 1 5
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Uljanik Pula
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 Druga NL
Uljanik Pula vs Marsonia
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marsonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lelic S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Uljanik Pula Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marsonia 42 / 100
Uljanik Pula 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marsonia Uljanik Pula

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Marsonia's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Uljanik Pula let in goals in 69% of their last 36 matches.

Marsonia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Uljanik Pula
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hrvace30204671:4164
2Karlovac30195650:2062
3Jadran Luka Ploce30167762:3855
4Mladost Zdralovi30167755:3255
5Solin301731054:3354
6Bjelovar30166856:3754
7Radnik Krizevci301461049:3748
8Kustosija30139851:4048
9Uljanik Pula301061441:4536
10Trnje30981340:5335
11Segesta301041650:6934
12Dragovoljac30951636:4532
13Marsonia301011940:7531
14Dugo Selo30861645:6030
15Grobnican30841833:5928
16Jadran Porec30332425:7412