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Marsouins vs Saint-Pierroise Prediction & H2H Stats

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Saint-Pierroise in this Regionale 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint-Pierroise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Marsouins
20%
Draws
73%
Saint-Pierroise
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saint-Pierroise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Saint-Pierroise have won more games recently than Marsouins.
  • Win probability leans Saint-Pierroise's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Regionale 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Saint-Pierroise have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Marsouins Clean Sheet 20%
Saint-Pierroise Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marsouins Saint-Pierroise
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.57 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2025 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Saint-Pierroise
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Regionale 1
Saint-Pierroise vs Marsouins
3:0
Aug 14, 2022 Regionale 1
Marsouins vs Saint-Pierroise
0:2
Apr 23, 2022 Regionale 1
Saint-Pierroise vs Marsouins
2:0
Oct 17, 2021 Regionale 1
Saint-Pierroise vs Marsouins
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marsouins 10 / 100
Saint-Pierroise 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marsouins Saint-Pierroise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Pierroise Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Saint-Pierroise conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Marsouins found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Marsouins has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marsouins VS Saint-Pierroise
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marsouins

(Home)
21 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
4 : 0
Marsouins
09 Nov
Marsouins
1 : 6
Excelsior
02 Nov
Dominicaine
3 : 0
Marsouins
19 Oct
Marsouins
1 : 1
Saint Louis
12 Oct
Piton Saint-Leu
2 : 0
Marsouins
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Saint-Pierroise

(Away)
23 Nov
Saint-Pierroise
2 : 0
Riviere des Galets
09 Nov
Tamponnaise
0 : 0
Saint-Pierroise
02 Nov
Saint-Pauloise FC
2 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
19 Oct
Saint-Pierroise
1 : 2
Excelsior
12 Oct
Dominicaine
0 : 2
Saint-Pierroise
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