Sport Picks

France

Ligue 2 2024/2025 Stade Francis Turcan

Martigues

2 - 0

AC Ajaccio

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Montiel R.

Assist: Robin M.

35'

Hadjem Y.

38'

Orinel O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Martigues in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Martigues.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Martigues

39%

Draws

30%

AC Ajaccio

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Martigues lately — more wins on the board than AC Ajaccio.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 0%

Over 2.5 Goals 11%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Martigues Clean Sheet 22%

AC Ajaccio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Martigues	AC Ajaccio
Matches Played	25	2
Wins	9	0
Draws	3	1
Losses	13	1
Goals Scored	0	0
Goals Conceded	0	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly

Martigues vs AC Ajaccio

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Mar 28, 2025 Ligue 2

Martigues vs AC Ajaccio

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

Oct 5, 2024 Ligue 2

AC Ajaccio vs Martigues

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Jul 26, 2024 Club Friendly

AC Ajaccio vs Martigues

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly

AC Ajaccio vs Martigues

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Martigues Compare

Top Goalscorer Montiel R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Orinel O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

AC Ajaccio Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martigues 32 / 100

AC Ajaccio 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Martigues AC Ajaccio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AJA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Ajaccio has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Martigues's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Martigues remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS AC Ajaccio

0 Goals Scored 0

0 Goals Conceded 0

0% Over 1.5 0%

0% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lorient	34	22	5	7	68:31	71
2	Paris FC	34	21	6	7	55:33	69
3	Metz	34	18	11	5	64:34	65
4	Dunkerque	34	17	5	12	47:40	56
5	Guingamp	34	17	4	13	57:45	55
6	Annecy	34	14	9	11	42:43	51
7	Laval	34	14	8	12	44:38	50
8	Bastia	34	11	15	8	43:37	48
9	Grenoble	34	13	7	14	43:44	46
10	Troyes	34	13	5	16	36:34	44
11	Amiens SC	34	13	4	17	38:50	43
12	AC Ajaccio	34	12	6	16	30:42	42
13	Pau	34	10	12	12	39:53	42
14	Rodez	34	9	12	13	56:54	39
15	Red Star	34	9	11	14	37:51	38
16	Clermont	34	7	12	15	30:46	33
17	Martigues	34	9	5	20	29:56	32
18	Caen	34	5	7	22	31:58	22