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Martigues vs Athletico Marseille - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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National 2 - Group A 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2018/2019 game between Martigues and Athletico Marseille finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Martigues.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Martigues
20%
Draws
51%
Athletico Marseille
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athletico Marseille

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Athletico Marseille carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Athletico Marseille are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Martigues Clean Sheet 20%
Athletico Marseille Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Martigues Athletico Marseille
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2019 National 1 - Group A
Martigues vs Athletico Marseille
3:0
Oct 20, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Athletico Marseille vs Martigues
2:2
Dec 7, 2014 Coupe de France
Martigues vs Athletico Marseille
1:2
Jan 25, 2014 National 1 - Group C
Athletico Marseille vs Martigues
1:1
Aug 31, 2013 National 1 - Group C
Martigues vs Athletico Marseille
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martigues 28 / 100
Athletico Marseille 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Martigues Athletico Marseille

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athletico Marseille Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Martigues's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Athletico Marseille's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Martigues went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Martigues VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Martigues

(Home)
26 Jul
Martigues
1 : 1
AC Ajaccio
10 May
Lorient
5 : 1
Martigues
02 May
Martigues
1 : 1
Paris FC
25 Apr
Guingamp
2 : 1
Martigues
18 Apr
Caen
0 : 3
Martigues
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Athletico Marseille

(Away)
14 Feb
Athletico Marseille
0 : 1
Aubagne FC
07 Feb
Saint-Zacharie
0 : 1
Athletico Marseille
19 Jan
Athletico Marseille
0 : 2
Rennes
04 Jan
Athletico Marseille
2 : 1
Rodez
07 Dec
RC Grasse
1 : 2
Athletico Marseille
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulon 30 16 11 3 43:25 59
2 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 17 6 7 51:38 57
3 Annecy 30 15 9 6 50:34 53
4 Jura Sud 30 13 11 6 43:30 50
5 Athletico Marseille 30 14 5 11 57:46 47
6 Marseille Endoume 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
7 Hyeres 30 11 8 11 29:33 41
8 Saint Priest 30 11 7 12 39:42 40
9 Martigues 30 10 11 9 40:30 40
10 RC Grasse 30 10 9 11 35:42 39
11 GOAL FC 30 11 6 13 32:39 39
12 Lyon II 30 10 7 13 56:47 37
13 Marseille II 30 10 5 15 50:57 35
14 Monaco II 30 9 6 15 44:52 33
15 Pontarlier 30 5 7 18 20:53 22
16 Nice II 30 5 5 20 41:70 20
Promotion - National 2019/2020 (Main)