Sport Picks

France

Ligue 2 2024/2025 Stade Francis Turcan

Paris FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Martigues play Paris FC in the Ligue 2 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Martigues averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Paris FC averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Martigues won 2, Paris FC won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Martigues and 0.93 for Paris FC. This points to a Paris FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Martigues

24%

Draws

39%

Paris FC

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Paris FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Martigues picked up more points recently compared to Paris FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Martigues Clean Sheet 24%

Paris FC Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Martigues	Paris FC
Matches Played	25	31
Wins	9	10
Draws	3	11
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	1.2	1.29
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 Ligue 2

Martigues vs Paris FC

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Jan 3, 2025 Ligue 2

Paris FC vs Martigues

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Mar 9, 2012 Ligue 3

Martigues vs Paris FC

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Sep 24, 2011 Ligue 3

Paris FC vs Martigues

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Mar 1, 2008 Ligue 3

Paris FC vs Martigues

Possession: 54% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Martigues Compare

Top Goalscorer Orinel O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Paris FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamel P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martigues 38 / 100

Paris FC 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Martigues Paris FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Paris FC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Martigues attacking → ← attacking Paris FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Martigues scored in 68% of their last 25 games.

Paris FC let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Martigues went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Paris FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 41

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lorient	34	22	5	7	68:31	71
2	Paris FC	34	21	6	7	55:33	69
3	Metz	34	18	11	5	64:34	65
4	Dunkerque	34	17	5	12	47:40	56
5	Guingamp	34	17	4	13	57:45	55
6	Annecy	34	14	9	11	42:43	51
7	Laval	34	14	8	12	44:38	50
8	Bastia	34	11	15	8	43:37	48
9	Grenoble	34	13	7	14	43:44	46
10	Troyes	34	13	5	16	36:34	44
11	Amiens SC	34	13	4	17	38:50	43
12	AC Ajaccio	34	12	6	16	30:42	42
13	Pau	34	10	12	12	39:53	42
14	Rodez	34	9	12	13	56:54	39
15	Red Star	34	9	11	14	37:51	38
16	Clermont	34	7	12	15	30:46	33
17	Martigues	34	9	5	20	29:56	32
18	Caen	34	5	7	22	31:58	22